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Topic: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6

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847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #28 on: October 07, 2019, 10:00:34 AM »
    Wisconsin - 2,2,2,2,4,3 - Close win, but Northwestern will do that to better teams.   

That, or State of Kent not being close. Heh.


And yes, to your point, NU is generally a wrench in the spokes for teams.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #29 on: October 07, 2019, 10:04:49 AM »
My biggest trouble with ranking those two would be which would win on a neutral field. Iowa looked like it could do it, but so did Michigan. So, I had to choose Michigan as being higher, by a nose. I think Iowa wins, in Iowa City.
Agreed.  
That, or State of Kent not being close. Heh.
And yes, to your point, NU is generally a wrench in the spokes for teams.
Oops, forgot to update from last week because I just didn't have anything to say about Kent.  Fixed.  

ELA

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #30 on: October 07, 2019, 10:12:36 AM »
Wolverines trail MSU and Iowa in SRS, but lead in FPI. Haven't seen SP+ yet. 
SP+

2. Ohio State
6. Wisconsin
7. Penn State
17. Michigan
18. Michigan State
21. Iowa
26. Minnesota
28. Indiana
36. Maryland
39. Nebraska
70. Northwestern
71. Illinois
72. Purdue
98. Rutgers

medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #31 on: October 07, 2019, 02:00:08 PM »
Results posted, votes through @medinabuckeye1 , 17 voters.  

Changes this week:

  • Michigan and Michigan State are each up one spot
  • Iowa is down two spots
  • Nebraska is up one spot
  • Maryland is up two spots
  • Northwestern is down three spots

It feels like we overreacted to both the IA/M and the UNL/NU results.  In both cases those teams were ranked close to each other before the game and in both cases the home team won by one score.  

We have a pretty interesting slate of games this weekend with a number of the games between teams that are adjacent or at least within four spots.  This weekend's games:
  • #1 Ohio State is off
  • #2 Wisconsin v #5 Michigan State
  • #3 Penn State at #6 Iowa
  • #4 Michigan at #13 Illinois
  • #7 Minnesota v #8 Nebraska
  • #9 Maryland at #12 Purdue
  • #10 Indiana v #14 Rutgers
  • #11 Northwestern is off

The five games in bold are between teams ranked within four spots of each other.  


Several teams are in near must-win situations wrt going bowling this year:
#9 Maryland:  The Terps are 3-2 so they only need three more wins but the balance of their schedule includes Michigan, @tOSU, and @MSU so a win here is almost vital.  

#10 Indiana:  The Hoosiers are also 3-2 so they also need three more wins.  Also like Maryland, they have a number of games left that they are very unlikely to win.  I can't see a path to a bowl game for the Hoosiers that includes losing to Rutgers.  

#12 Purdue:  The Boilermakers have an easier remaining schedule than the Terps and Hoosiers but they also only have one win so they need to find five more.  That is going to be VERY tricky if they don't get one of them against Maryland this weekend.  

Finally, this is Minnesota's greatest challenge before hosting Penn State on November 9.  If they manage to beat the Cornhuskers this weekend, they should win at Rutgers next weekend then go home and beat Maryland.  After that they have a week off, then host Penn State on 11/9.  Could you imagine Gameday in Minneapolis for a Gophers/Nittany Lions tilt where both teams are 8-0?  

847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #32 on: October 07, 2019, 02:14:30 PM »
Could you imagine Gameday in Minneapolis for a Gophers/Nittany Lions tilt where both teams are 8-0? 
Possibly. It depends on where Florida/Georgia are sitting, come that day. 
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #33 on: October 07, 2019, 02:17:09 PM »
Possibly. It depends on where Florida/Georgia are sitting, come that day.
Good news:
WLOCP is actually a week earlier, 11/2.  

Bad news:
LSU @ Bama is the same day, 11/9.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #34 on: October 07, 2019, 02:20:14 PM »
Good news:
WLOCP is actually a week earlier, 11/2. 

Bad news:
LSU @ Bama is the same day, 11/9. 
The only way I could actually see Gameday going to Minneapolis for the PSU/MN game is if:
  • Minnesota wins out to that game, and
  • Penn State wins out to that game (or loses no more than one), and
  • LSU loses to Florida this weekend, and
  • LSU loses to Auburn on 10/26.  

If all of those things happened then the Bama/LSU game wouldn't really be a big deal while PSU/MN theoretically would.  


847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #35 on: October 07, 2019, 02:34:44 PM »
Good news:
WLOCP is actually a week earlier, 11/2. 

Bad news:
LSU @ Bama is the same day, 11/9. 
There you have my brain fart of the day.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #36 on: October 07, 2019, 03:34:37 PM »
#12 Purdue:  The Boilermakers have an easier remaining schedule than the Terps and Hoosiers but they also only have one win so they need to find five more.  That is going to be VERY tricky if they don't get one of them against Maryland this weekend. 
Yep. Do or die for the Boilers this week. It'll be hard enough to get 5 more wins even if EVERYTHING goes our way. But if we lose to Maryland, then we need 5 of the remaining six with road trips to both Iowa and Wisconsin. That's getting into <<<<1% probability territory IMHO.

Heck, FPI has Illinois as the only remaining game Purdue will be favored in. 

MaximumSam

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #37 on: October 07, 2019, 03:51:46 PM »
SP+

1. OSU (2) (Though almost a virtual tie with Bammer for #1)
2. Wiscy (6)
3. PSU (7) (Just a tick behind Wiscy, and both ahead of Clemson)
4. Michigan (17)
5. MSU (18)
6. Iowa (21)
7. Minnesota (26)
8. Indiana (28)(!)
9. Maryland (36)
10. Nebraska (39)
11. Northwestern (70)
12. Illinois (71)
13. Purdue (72)
14. Rutgers (98)


medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #38 on: October 07, 2019, 04:19:31 PM »
Yep. Do or die for the Boilers this week. It'll be hard enough to get 5 more wins even if EVERYTHING goes our way. But if we lose to Maryland, then we need 5 of the remaining six with road trips to both Iowa and Wisconsin. That's getting into <<<<1% probability territory IMHO.

Heck, FPI has Illinois as the only remaining game Purdue will be favored in.
Not sure how FPI would rank it, but I figured the rough ranking of most likely wins for Purdue is:
  • vs ILL
  • vs UMD
  • vs IU
  • vs UNL
  • @ NU
  • @ IA
  • @ UW
Agreed, that is tough no matter what and with a loss on Saturday it is basically over.  


betarhoalphadelta

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #39 on: October 07, 2019, 04:38:05 PM »
Here they are... Oddly it doesn't like Nebraska much... 

vs Maryland 35.3%

@ #17 Iowa 8.6%

vs Illinois 68.5%

vs Nebraska 41.3%

@ Northwestern 31.3%

@ #8 Wisconsin 4.2%

vs Indiana 37.2%

SFBadger96

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #40 on: October 07, 2019, 04:51:17 PM »
1) Ohio State: until someone proves differently.
2) Wisconsin: because it still has the better win to date, and it's shaky win was better than Penn State's shaky win.
3) Penn State: solid conference win, even if a weak opponent.
4) Michigan: big win; still has better athletes than most of the conference.
5) Iowa: definitely not a pushover.
6) Michigan State: expected loss for a team in this position.
7) Minnesota: finally a solid win; still unbeaten.
9) Nebraska: wins count.
8) Northwestern: good effort; weak offense.
10) Maryland: still way better than Rutgers.
11) Indiana: idle.
12) Purdue: bad.
13) Illinois: really bad.
14) Rutgers: gross.

ELA

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 6
« Reply #41 on: October 09, 2019, 07:34:32 PM »
Updated Massey composite computer ranking, with 94 rankings (last week in parenthesis)

  • OHIO STATE (1)
  • Alabama (2)
  • Clemson (4)
  • LSU (6)
  • WISCONSIN (9)
  • Auburn (3)
  • PENN STATE (7)
  • Georgia (5)
  • Oklahoma (8)
  • Florida (14)
  • Oregon (13)
  • Notre Dame (10)
  • Texas (15)
  • Baylor (-)
  • IOWA (12)
  • MICHIGAN (-)
  • SMU (19)
  • Missouri (20)
  • MICHIGAN STATE (16)
  • Cincinnati (25)
  • Boise State (18)
  • Memphis (-)
  • Washington (11)
  • Arizona State (22)
  • Wake Forest (24)





  • 33. Minnesota (38)
  • 52. Maryland (61)
  • 55. Nebraska (52)
  • 60. Indiana (55)
  • 80. Northwestern (78)
  • 91. Purdue (86)
  • 108. Illinois (93)
  • 121. Rutgers (118)





 

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