« on: October 27, 2025, 03:27:47 PM »
Mathematically only the winless Spartans, Boilermakers, and Badgers are eliminated but on a practical level it would be absolutely shocking if the two CG participants didn't come from among the teams that currently have one loss or less so I'll keep the analysis to them.
- 5-0 Indiana beat Oregon and Iowa: Does not play any more of the teams on this list.
- 4-0 Ohio State: Plays at 4-1 Michigan on 11/29.
- 4-1 Oregon lost to IU: Plays at 4-1 Iowa on 11/8 and vs 3-1 USC on 11/22.
- 4-1 Iowa lost to IU: Plays vs 4-1 Oregon on 11/1 and at 3-1 USC on 11/15.
- 4-1 Michigan lost to USC: Plays vs 4-0 tOSU on 11/29.
- 3-1 USC lost to IL, beat M: plays vs 4-1 IA on 11/15 and at 4-1 Ore on 11/22.
Iowa, Oregon, and USC have the toughest remaining schedules as they still have a round-robin amongst themselves to play over the first four Saturdays in November (November has five Saturdays). Each of them get one at home and one on the road. If any of them can pick up a road win, they'll probably finish 8-1 but if not they'll probably all finish 7-2 or worse.
In the event of a tie H2H is only used if the teams all played each other or if one team beat each of the others. In the absence of one of those two conditions the tie will likely be broken based on SoS as measured by the cumulative league record of each teams' league opponents. Currently that is:
It is interesting that the four winless teams have the toughest schedules while the two undefeated teams have the two easiest schedules. That also keeps the race somewhat interesting because it would be unlikely for either the Buckeyes or the Hoosiers to win a tie.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2025, 04:52:35 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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