Do you think the ACC will survive mostly as it is today for five more years?
As an FSU graduate, I actually think the ACC will survive mostly as is until their grant of rights expires in 2036 if the ACC holds the line, and doesn't negotiate a settlement. FSU signed over all its media rights to the ACC in 2016, meaning that if they leave, and go to another conference, whatever they are paid for television, is to be paid to the ACC. The estimated payout FSU would have to pay the ACC is circa $550M to $600M. In its lawsuit against the ACC, FSU contends this grant of rights provision constitutes an illegal unconscionable penalty. It is not a set exit fee, so I am not so sure it constitutes an illegal unconscionable penalty; FSU signed the contract.
FSU filed its case in Leon County, Florida, claiming jurisdiction was appropriate in Leon County because of the ACC's presence in each state where it has a team. However, the ACC filed suit against FSU in North Carolina concerning the same issues
before FSU filed in Florida. So they are arguing now over which lawsuit goes forward, FSU claiming there was no justiciable issue in North Carolina when the ACC filed suit to beat FSU to the courthouse. There will be millions spent on attorneys pursuing and defending the suit. I am surprised the ACC didn't have a forum selection clause in its contract.
When a penalty is set in a specific amount, it is more likely to be considered an illegal penalty provision, if it is not based on a reasonable formula for measuring damages.
I suspect the whole problem FSU is having with remuneration could be solved if Notre Dame were added as a full member, because the ACC media rates would rise. ND's NBC contract makes that a complicated situation for any conference, although perhaps less complicated if ND were to join the Big Ten.