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Topic: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center

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Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #168 on: February 26, 2025, 11:21:29 AM »
I still have the same question as before. 

I understand how inflation works and I understand how market caps work, but not necessarily the extent to which they work together.

I'm wondering how inflation affects market caps, and if it does, then how much?  Seems like if inflation means prices of goods increase, then so would the price of stocks. 

So when Microsoft, Tesla, Amazon, etc. shoot up, how much is because the companies gained real economic value, and how much (if any) is due to inflation?  It strikes me as not coincidental that these net worths have shot up over the same time as inflation skyrocketed.  (I understand there was a large xfer of wealth to the uber-wealthy in that same time frame, which would go under the "gained real economic value, 'cuz we forced it" category.)
it is mainly from the money printing presses and the injection of capital/access to cheap capital that the largest players get first dibs on/just naturally just flows to them. every time the government has fired up the printing presses- from the '08-'09 bailouts to the COVID forced lockdowns and CARES Act bailout spending spree- which was the single largest transfer of wealth from the lower and middle classes to the upper class in history- you have wound up with concentrations of capital in fewer hands and skyrocketing prices in assets. it's not limited to stocks either- great example of this are the mega mansions in South Florida. houses that used to sell in Palm Beach for $30-40 million 10 years ago are now selling for $100-200 million, houses in Miami that used to sell for $10-20 million 10 years ago are now selling for $60-70 million. price of construction hasn't gone up that drastically.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #169 on: February 26, 2025, 11:23:06 AM »
Yes, I have done that myself.  You still don't get rich doing it.  You'd have more money paying the cap gains tax after selling.
I get that, but let's say you were someone like Musk, Gates, etc whose fortune came almost exclusively from starting a company that made it big. Now let's say you retired and walked away so you have no income. 

Ok, you have a $1B net worth all in stock in CincyCo. If you sell to finance your Billionaire lifestyle you'll pay capital gains tax on everything you sell (for purpose of discussion, assume that the basis is either zero or effectively zero because it probably is). 

If you donate $1M and sell $1M to finance your lifestyle, you pay zero tax because the donation offsets the gain.

You are right, you don't get rich that way, but if you already are rich and the annual appreciation covers 2x your spending you can effectively pay no income tax indefinitely. 

Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #170 on: February 26, 2025, 11:25:19 AM »
I wonder why unskilled laborers (most of Wal-Mart's workforce) have been seeing their real incomes drop for ~50 years.

It couldn't possibly be related to supply and demand . . .
shhhhh....open border policy was long time considered a right wing policy backed by right wing billionaires like the Koch brothers in order to drive labor costs down to US corporations. Bernie Sanders used to rail against this in the past. haven't heard him talk about it anymore. talk about a complete cuck and fraud. 

why do you think Illinois' "good billionaire" Governor favors unchecked illegal immigration? could it possibly be because he likes saving money on labor costs for his hotel empire by hiring someone who is here illegally that will work for less than an American?

847badgerfan

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #171 on: February 26, 2025, 11:27:54 AM »
shhhhh....open border policy was long time considered a right wing policy backed by right wing billionaires like the Koch brothers in order to drive labor costs down to US corporations. Bernie Sanders used to rail against this in the past. haven't heard him talk about it anymore. talk about a complete cuck and fraud.

why do you think Illinois' "good billionaire" Governor favors unchecked illegal immigration? could it possibly be because he likes saving money on labor costs for his hotel empire by hiring someone who is here illegally that will work for less than an American?
He is not a good person.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #172 on: February 26, 2025, 11:29:22 AM »
Ok, you have a $1B net worth all in stock in CincyCo. If you sell to finance your Billionaire lifestyle you'll pay capital gains tax on everything you sell (for purpose of discussion, assume that the basis is either zero or effectively zero because it probably is).
I would borrow, not sell, whatever I needed for my lifestyle, and pay zero tax on anything.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #173 on: February 26, 2025, 11:30:30 AM »
I truly believe that wealth inequality is one of the most troubling issues in our Country.

We are heading down a road towards being like our Central and South American neighbors with a fantastically rich over-class and massive slums for everyone else.

Democrats talk about this some but most of their policies make it worse. Republicans don't generally talk about it and should.

I'm fine talking about it, just as long as we're removing the supremely ignorant idea of equity from the jump, and the idea that the goal is for everyone to have roughly the same amount of....anything.  

It's a noble goal, and I bet it works well in Utopia.  I hear the unicorns crap chocolate ice cream there.  

Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #174 on: February 26, 2025, 11:31:00 AM »
He is not a good person.
I was poking fun of the Democrats for their messaging on "we have the good billionaires!"....

But yes, I know. He is not. Nor a healthy one that should be lecturing anyone about health or giving any sort of health advice.....



https://twitter.com/jonnygroves/status/1894004087043031111

Cincydawg

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #175 on: February 26, 2025, 11:31:50 AM »
In my own case, which of course is enormously smaller, I had a double salary year my last year, and some highly appreciated stock in my "plan".  I hadn't understood this, but my advisor had me donate my appreciated stock to a charitable fund which I still operate (a Donor Advised Fund it's now called).  That did reduce my income tax liability a good bit because I had earned income from my salary x2 that year.

I've kept that charitable fund going with investments and all my donations come out of that now.

847badgerfan

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #176 on: February 26, 2025, 11:33:00 AM »
I was poking fun of the Democrats for their messaging on "we have the good billionaires!"....

But yes, I know. He is not. Nor a healthy one that should be lecturing anyone about health or giving any sort of health advice.....



https://twitter.com/jonnygroves/status/1894004087043031111

That's an old picture. He's even bigger now.

Governor Big Boy, as he is commonly known.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #177 on: February 26, 2025, 11:34:04 AM »
I would borrow, not sell, whatever I needed for my lifestyle, and pay zero tax on anything.
which is exactly what most of them do. borrow, refinance, borrow, refinance. And every major bank in the country kisses their asses trying to get their business- and give them low interest loans the average Joe could never sniff.

Btw, Googled it- if Gates had still held all his stock at his peak holdings (and hadn't gotten divorced)- even with no new options or stock compensation- his net worth on paper today would be over $1 trillion. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #178 on: February 26, 2025, 11:35:35 AM »
If you want to somehow limit the wealth disparity in the US, you first should study up on how they currently maintain their wealth and live HotH, it's not complicated.


Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #179 on: February 26, 2025, 11:39:47 AM »
That's an old picture. He's even bigger now.

Governor Big Boy, as he is commonly known.
yeah he really is a fat tard lub of shit. it honestly amazes me that people in Illinois actually voted for the guy....twice.

like I get Obama coming out of Illinois, he was a good looking, young, thin, slick talking, nimble on his feet, working class guy that put himself through law school. impressive guy. on the surface. this dude is however is just a fat fucking slob who sounds like he can barely breathe and needs another cheeseburger by the second and every time he opens his mouth he sounds incoherent.

Democrats are in a major crisis right now. They have absolutely no one even remotely impressive to be the figurehead on a national level.

Mdot21

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #180 on: February 26, 2025, 11:45:04 AM »
If you want to somehow limit the wealth disparity in the US, you first should study up on how they currently maintain their wealth and live HotH, it's not complicated.
if you wanted to limit the wealth disparity I think you'd have to enforce anti-trust laws first- which no one has really done in decades- they are there for a reason- to try and prevent concentration of mass wealth/power and to open up competition. you'd have to basically end government handouts and bailouts of large corporations and let them fail and die when they fail. you have to overhaul all the regulatory agencies- slash regulations that either favor big players and/or prevent competition from smaller players, and end corporate regulatory capture and root out conflict of interest. we don't really have a free market in this country- we have some sort of weird mixed system built on crony capitalism. 

I think these issues are even more pressing matters than taxes imo.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Academic discussion (we'll try) of politics shift away from center
« Reply #181 on: February 26, 2025, 11:54:21 AM »
I'm fine talking about it, just as long as we're removing the supremely ignorant idea of equity from the jump, and the idea that the goal is for everyone to have roughly the same amount of....anything. 

It's a noble goal, and I bet it works well in Utopia.  I hear the unicorns crap chocolate ice cream there. 
I agree.  

The problem, in my view, isn't at the top it is at the bottom.  Demonizing billionaires is always a neat way to score cheap political points but most of them have created a LOT more wealth than they hold.  They've also typically created a lot of "lower-order rich" people in the form of their employees and other stakeholders.  

The problem, as I see it, is more that the working poor have been getting poorer for generations now.  In the 1960's-1970's there were a lot of blue collar men who fully supported their families on ONLY their income and lived reasonably well.  They weren't jet-set rich, but they could afford homes and cars and child-rearing on ONE blue-collar income.  

That isn't even remotely possible today.  Even after doubling the workers for those families by sending the wives into the workforce they are STILL worse off financially today than their equivalents were ~50 years ago with only ONE income.  

Then, to make it MUCH worse, the reality today is that marriage is effectively a luxury.  College educated white women are married at their first childbirth today at rates nearly equal to what those rates were when Leave it to Beaver was on TV.  Ie, the reasonably well off get married and form families.  The change has been to the lower classes.  A female HS dropout is about as likely to be struck by lightning as she is to be married before she has kids (this is probably an exaggeration but not by nearly as much as you might think).  

Also, people generally marry (or hook-up at lower classes) within socio-economic class.  

Then this fuels the cycle.  Looking at the above groups you have:
  • Kid #1 has two college educated parents.  
  • Kid #2 has a HS dropout mom and may not even know who their father is.  

This is also multi-generational now so in many cases:
  • Kid #1 also has four college educated grandparents and a few college educated aunts and uncles.  
  • Kid #2 doesn't have any immediate family educated much beyond HS.  

Also, intelligence is at least somewhat heritable so Kid #1 is, on average, smarter than Kid #2 to begin with.  

To make this all worse, the "knowledge based economy" has dramatically increased the value of a strong mind relative to a strong back.  

Then, in case Kid #2 didn't already get dealt a bad enough hand, we have imported literally MILLIONS of unskilled laborers to compete for the few remaining unskilled and low-skill jobs.  

 

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