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I'm expecting a final score in this range...



Take the under.

Ugh, the absolute worst game I've ever been to.

Hopefully this will clear up some confusion

Iowa's last big upset of OSU was Nov 4, 2017.  The start time was 2:30 PM.  Central Daylight time.  The sun set that day at 5:57 PM in Iowa City.  The day after the game Iowa City switched back to Central Standard Time and the sun set at 4:56 PM in Iowa City.  This is why everybody remembers this as a day game. 

Looking back, Iowa's big upset of #3 PSU was November 8, 2008.  The start time was 2:30 PM.  Central Standard Time.  The sun set that day at 4:52 PM.  By the time Iowa kicked the game winning FG, it was dark.  This is why so many people remember this as a night game.

Iowa's last big upset of Michigan was Nov 12, 2016.  The start time was 7:00 PM.  Central Standard Time.  The sun set that day in Iowa City at 4:48 PM.  It was already dark by the time the game started.

I think that's only because Iowa appears to be well ahead of future opponents in the West.  Penn State is not, currently.  If PSU wins, they could well need to sweep UM and OSU anyway.

Yeah, the winner certainly will be well positions for a NY6, at minimum, but as noted, Penn State has a rough road ahead, Iowa could win out and it wouldn't be too much of a shock.  OSU may be getting their pieces together and Michigan looks sounder than usual.  I expect Michigan State to do a Kentucky soonish.

This will be Sean Clifford's 3rd game against Iowa

In 2019 he was 12/24,  117 yards, 1 TD passing. But he also ran it 16 times for 52 yards.  PSU won 17-12 

In 2020 Clifford split time with Levis
Clifford was 13/22, 174 yds, 2 TD,  2 int passing
Levis was 13/16, 106 yards, no TD, no int

Levis actually started the 2020 game for PSU, but got pulled for Clifford when Iowa raced to a 31-7 lead in the 3Q.  Part of how Iowa built that lead was returning a Levis fumble for a TD.  Clifford actually threw a couple TD passes to get PSU close,  31-21.  But then Clifford ended up throwing 2 picks to end the game, including a pick six that made the final score 41-21.

Despite mixed results, I don't expect Clifford to make many mistakes against Iowa.  He has seen the Iowa defense twice before.  He will be coached to only take what Iowa's defense is giving him.  With that said,  I don't expect PSU to score many points either. 

This will be Sean Clifford's 3rd game against Iowa

In 2019 he was 12/24,  117 yards, 1 TD passing. But he also ran it 16 times for 52 yards.  PSU won 17-12 

In 2020 Clifford split time with Levis
Clifford was 13/22, 174 yds, 2 TD,  2 int passing
Levis was 13/16, 106 yards, no TD, no int

Levis actually started the 2020 game for PSU, but got pulled for Clifford when Iowa raced to a 31-7 lead in the 3Q.  Part of how Iowa built that lead was returning a Levis fumble for a TD.  Clifford actually threw a couple TD passes to get PSU close,  31-21.  But then Clifford ended up throwing 2 picks to end the game, including a pick six that made the final score 41-21.

Despite mixed results, I don't expect Clifford to make many mistakes against Iowa.  He has seen the Iowa defense twice before.  He will be coached to only take what Iowa's defense is giving him.  With that said,  I don't expect PSU to score many points either. 

Clifford is making much better decisions this year, so far.  His accuracy has also been better.  I think Mike Yurcich has been very good for Clifford.

Both teams have strong defenses with an offense that has done just enough to win.  This will be a low scoring on both sides.

No 6-4 jokes yet?  That was a noon/11 am kick.

This is the only weird score in our memory. However, Iowa had another weird low scoring game in 1939, and won.
Iowa 4 - Purdue 0
It wasn't a Heisman day for Nile Kinnick offensively. Purdue's Jack Brown intercepted Nile Kinnick 4x. Iowa scored a safety in the 4th quarter due to a fumbled Purdue snap recovered by Purdue's Jack Brown who was tackled in the end zone. Another 4th quarter safety was scored on a blocked punt in Purdue's end zone, recovered by Purdue's Jack Brown who was once again, was tackled in Purdue's end zone. Great game defensively for Jack Brown; not such a great day offensively.