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Topic: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation

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Cincydawg

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #126 on: August 18, 2025, 06:14:07 AM »

  • Penn State at Ole Miss, winner vs Ohio State
  • Minnesota at Illinois, winner vs Texas
  • Notre Dame at Oregon, winner vs Miami
  • James Madison at Georgia,  winner vs UNLV

One of these teams has an easier path than the others .....


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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #127 on: August 18, 2025, 10:30:18 AM »
WEEK SIXTEEN
Saturday, December 13
Navy d. Army
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #128 on: August 18, 2025, 10:37:03 AM »
Quote from: medinabuckeye1 on August 17, 2025, 08:19:06 PM
So if I understand the CFP and this scenario then CFP seeds should be:

  • #1 Ohio State
  • #2 Texas
  • #15 Miami
  • #16 UNLV
  • #3 Georgia
  • #4 Oregon
  • #5 Illinois
  • #6 Ole Miss
  • #7 Penn State
  • #8 Minnesota
  • #9 Notre Dame
  • #17 James Madison
So games would be:
  • Penn State at Ole Miss, winner vs Ohio State
  • Minnesota at Illinois, winner vs Texas
  • Notre Dame at Oregon, winner vs Miami
  • James Madison at Georgia,  winner vs UNLV

Right?
They got rid of 1st round byes for conference champions.  I hate that, I would have just gone to strict seeding each round.

So last year, Oregon, Georgia, Boise State, and Arizona State still get the byes.  But then the quarterfinals are seeded by actual ranking.  Boise State and Arizona State don't remain the #3 and #4 seeds.

It's instead

#1 Oregon vs. #12 Arizona State
#2 Georgia vs. #9 Boise State
#3 Texas vs. #6 Ohio State
#4 Penn State vs. #5 Notre Dame
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #129 on: August 18, 2025, 10:42:58 AM »
Quote from: ELA on August 18, 2025, 10:37:03 AM
They got rid of 1st round byes for conference champions.  I hate that, I would have just gone to strict seeding each round.

So last year, Oregon, Georgia, Boise State, and Arizona State still get the byes.  But then the quarterfinals are seeded by actual ranking.  Boise State and Arizona State don't remain the #3 and #4 seeds.

It's instead

#1 Oregon vs. #12 Arizona State
#2 Georgia vs. #9 Boise State
#3 Texas vs. #6 Ohio State
#4 Penn State vs. #5 Notre Dame
Ok, but when do #7, #8, #10, and #11 play?  You've got 1-6, 9, and 12.  
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utee94

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #130 on: August 18, 2025, 10:46:31 AM »
Quote from: ELA on August 17, 2025, 03:12:16 PM


Saturday, December 6


#4 Texas d. #2 Georgia


This entire thing is great and is NOT complete bullshit!!!!
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #131 on: August 18, 2025, 10:47:01 AM »
Quote from: medinabuckeye1 on August 18, 2025, 10:42:58 AM
Ok, but when do #7, #8, #10, and #11 play?  You've got 1-6, 9, and 12. 
They all lost in the 1st round.  The 1st round would have been exactly the same.  But then rather than keeping BSU and ASU at #3 and #4, you seed them where they actually were.

It screwed Oregon and Georgia, because they had to play the #5 and #6 ranked teams, because they were the #7 and #8 seeds
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #132 on: August 18, 2025, 01:14:40 PM »
DECEMBER 13.
LAColorado State (9-4) vs. Washington State (6-6)
DECEMBER 16
VETERANSBowling Green (7-5) vs. Southern Miss (7-5)
DECEMBER 17
CUREAppalachian State (6-6) vs. South Florida (6-6)
68 VENTURESCentral Michigan (7-5) vs. Louisiana (7-5)
DECEMBER 19
MYRTLE BEACHGeorgia Southern (8-4) vs. Navy (7-5)
GASPARILLAFlorida State (6-6) vs. LSU (6-6)
CFP#9 Notre Dame (10-2) at #8 MINNESOTA (10-2)
DECEMBER 20
CFP#17 James Madison (13-0) at #5 ILLINOIS (10-2)
CFP#16 UNLV (13-0) at #6 Ole Miss (10-2)
CFP#15 Miami (10-3) at #7 PENN STATE (10-2)
DECEMBER 22
POTATOBoise State (8-4) vs. Ohio (7-5)
DECEMBER 23
BOCA RATONMarshall (7-5) vs. Toledo (7-5)
NEW ORLEANSLouisiana Tech (10-3) vs. South Alabama (8-5)
FRISCOUTEP (7-6) vs. Rice (6-6)
DECEMBER 24
HAWAIIFlorida Atlantic (9-3) vs. Air Force (7-5)
DECEMBER 26
SPORTSCentral Florida (7-5) vs. Miami(Ohio) (8-4)
RATETCU (7-5) vs. Arkansas (6-6)
FIRST RESPONDERKansas (7-5) vs. North Texas (7-5)
DECEMBER 27
MILITARYNorth Carolina (7-5) vs. Army (7-5)
PINSTRIPELouisville (8-4) vs. Oklahoma State (6-6)
FENWAY#21 Tulane (11-2) vs. Virginia (8-4)
POP-TARTSGeorgia Tech (8-4) vs. Kansas State (8-4)
ARIZONANorthern Illinois (9-4) vs. San Jose State (7-5)
NEW MEXICOConnecticut (7-5) vs. New Mexico (6-6)
HOLIDAYNC State (8-4) vs. WASHINGTON (6-6)
GATOR#18 Missouri (9-3) vs. #20 Boston College (9-4)
TEXASTexas Tech (8-4) vs. South Carolina (7-5)
DECEMBER 29
BIRMINGHAMFlorida (6-6) vs. Memphis (8-4)
DECEMBER 30
INDEPENDENCEBYU (7-5) vs. Oregon State (7-5)
MUSIC CITY#12 Tennessee (9-3) vs. #22 MICHIGAN (8-4)
ALAMO#19 Houston (10-3) vs. USC (8-4)
DECEMBER 31
RELIAQUEST#11 Oklahoma (9-3) vs. #24 NEBRASKA (8-4)
SUNSMU (8-4) vs. Iowa State (6-6)
CITRUS#13 INDIANA (9-3) vs. #14 Alabama (9-3)
LAS VEGAS#25 Arizona State (9-4) vs. IOWA (7-5)
COTTON#4 OREGON (11-2)
JANUARY 1
ORANGE#3 Georgia (11-2)
ROSE#1 OHIO STATE (13-0)
SUGAR#2 Texas (11-2)
JANUARY 2
ARMED FORCESBaylor (6-6) vs. UTSA (9-4)
LIBERTYCincinnati (8-4) vs. Texas A&M (6-6)
MAYO#10 Clemson (10-2) vs. #23 Vanderbilt (8-4)
JANUARY 8
FIESTA
JANUARY 9
PEACH
JANUARY 19
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
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Abba

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #133 on: August 18, 2025, 04:48:40 PM »
Kind of wild to imagine the Big XII being shut out, but the champ had 3 losses.
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #134 on: August 18, 2025, 04:53:21 PM »
Quote from: Abba on August 18, 2025, 04:48:40 PM
Kind of wild to imagine the Big XII being shut out, but the champ had 3 losses.
Mixed with 2 undefeated Group of 5 champions.

Houston just somehow couldn't lose, even though they were underdogs in like 10 of 13 games
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #135 on: August 19, 2025, 01:28:56 PM »
Bowl Week 1

DECEMBER 13.
LAWashington State d. Colorado State
DECEMBER 16
VETERANSSouthern Miss d. Bowling Green
DECEMBER 17
CUREAppalachian State d. South Florida
68 VENTURESLouisiana d. Central Michigan
DECEMBER 19
MYRTLE BEACHNavy d. Georgia Southern
GASPARILLALSU d. Florida State
CFP#8 MINNESOTA d. #9 Notre Dame
DECEMBER 20
CFP#5 ILLINOIS d. #17 James Madison
CFP#6 Ole Miss d. #16 UNLV
CFP#7 PENN STATE d. #15 Miami
DECEMBER 22
POTATOBoise State (8-4) vs. Ohio (7-5)
DECEMBER 23
BOCA RATONMarshall (7-5) vs. Toledo (7-5)
NEW ORLEANSLouisiana Tech (10-3) vs. South Alabama (8-5)
FRISCOUTEP (7-6) vs. Rice (6-6)
DECEMBER 24
HAWAIIFlorida Atlantic (9-3) vs. Air Force (7-5)
DECEMBER 26
SPORTSCentral Florida (7-5) vs. Miami(Ohio) (8-4)
RATETCU (7-5) vs. Arkansas (6-6)
FIRST RESPONDERKansas (7-5) vs. North Texas (7-5)
DECEMBER 27
MILITARYNorth Carolina (7-5) vs. Army (7-5)
PINSTRIPELouisville (8-4) vs. Oklahoma State (6-6)
FENWAY#21 Tulane (11-2) vs. Virginia (8-4)
POP-TARTSGeorgia Tech (8-4) vs. Kansas State (8-4)
ARIZONANorthern Illinois (9-4) vs. San Jose State (7-5)
NEW MEXICOConnecticut (7-5) vs. New Mexico (6-6)
HOLIDAYNC State (8-4) vs. WASHINGTON (6-6)
GATOR#18 Missouri (9-3) vs. #20 Boston College (9-4)
TEXASTexas Tech (8-4) vs. South Carolina (7-5)
DECEMBER 29
BIRMINGHAMFlorida (6-6) vs. Memphis (8-4)
DECEMBER 30
INDEPENDENCEBYU (7-5) vs. Oregon State (7-5)
MUSIC CITY#12 Tennessee (9-3) vs. #22 MICHIGAN (8-4)
ALAMO#19 Houston (10-3) vs. USC (8-4)
DECEMBER 31
RELIAQUEST#11 Oklahoma (9-3) vs. #24 NEBRASKA (8-4)
SUNSMU (8-4) vs. Iowa State (6-6)
CITRUS#13 INDIANA (9-3) vs. #14 Alabama (9-3)
LAS VEGAS#25 Arizona State (9-4) vs. IOWA (7-5)
COTTON#4 OREGON (11-2) vs. #5 ILLINOIS (11-2)
JANUARY 1
ORANGE#3 Georgia (11-2) vs. #6 Ole Miss (11-2)
ROSE#1 OHIO STATE (13-0) vs. #8 MINNESOTA (11-2)
SUGAR#2 Texas (11-2) vs. #7 PENN STATE (10-2)
JANUARY 2
ARMED FORCESBaylor (6-6) vs. UTSA (9-4)
LIBERTYCincinnati (8-4) vs. Texas A&M (6-6)
MAYO#10 Clemson (10-2) vs. #23 Vanderbilt (8-4)
JANUARY 8
FIESTA
JANUARY 9
PEACH
JANUARY 19
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #136 on: August 19, 2025, 01:29:36 PM »
Quarterfinals are 2 Big Ten vs. Big Ten games, 1 SEC vs. SEC game, and 1 Big Ten vs. SEC game

Full NFL-ization realized
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #137 on: August 19, 2025, 01:32:59 PM »
So under last year's model, we would have had

Penn State at Ole Miss, winner vs Ohio State
Minnesota at Illinois, winner vs Texas
Notre Dame at Oregon, winner vs Miami
James Madison at Georgia,  winner vs UNLV


Just assume home teams win...
Ohio State vs. Ole Miss
Texas vs. Illinois
Miami vs. Oregon
UNLV vs. Georgia

No offense, but that is more interesting...but also probably an unfair edge for Georgia.  So under my proposal where the top 4 conference champs get byes, but then they are seeded by their actual ranking, you would get the same first round games, but then, quarterfinals would be...

Ohio State vs. UNLV
Texas vs. Miami
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
Oregon vs. Illinois

Also better than what we got, and also fairer
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #138 on: August 20, 2025, 01:52:37 PM »
Bowl Week 2

DECEMBER 13.
LAWashington State d. Colorado State
DECEMBER 16
VETERANSSouthern Miss d. Bowling Green
DECEMBER 17
CUREAppalachian State d. South Florida
68 VENTURESLouisiana d. Central Michigan
DECEMBER 19
MYRTLE BEACHNavy d. Georgia Southern
GASPARILLALSU d. Florida State
CFP#8 MINNESOTA d. #9 Notre Dame
DECEMBER 20
CFP#5 ILLINOIS d. #17 James Madison
CFP#6 Ole Miss d. #16 UNLV
CFP#7 PENN STATE d. #15 Miami
DECEMBER 22
POTATOBoise State d. Ohio
DECEMBER 23
BOCA RATONMarshall d. Toledo
NEW ORLEANSSouth Alabama d. Louisiana Tech
FRISCOUTEP d. Rice
DECEMBER 24
HAWAIIFlorida Atlantic d. Air Force
DECEMBER 26
SPORTSCentral Florida d. Miami(Ohio)
RATEArkansas d. TCU
FIRST RESPONDERKansas d. North Texas
DECEMBER 27
MILITARYNorth Carolina d. Army
PINSTRIPELouisville d. Oklahoma State
FENWAYVirginia d. #21 Tulane
POP-TARTSGeorgia Tech d. Kansas State
ARIZONANorthern Illinois d. San Jose State
NEW MEXICOConnecticut d. New Mexico
HOLIDAYNC State d. WASHINGTON
GATOR#18 Missouri d. #20 Boston College
TEXASSouth Carolina d. Texas Tech
DECEMBER 29
BIRMINGHAMFlorida d. Memphis
DECEMBER 30
INDEPENDENCEBYU d. Oregon State
MUSIC CITY#12 Tennessee d. #22 MICHIGAN
ALAMO#19 Houston d. USC
DECEMBER 31
RELIAQUEST#24 NEBRASKA d. #11 Oklahoma
SUNIowa State d. SMU
CITRUS#14 Alabama d. #13 INDIANA
LAS VEGASIOWA d. #25 Arizona State
COTTON#4 OREGON d. #5 ILLINOIS
JANUARY 1
ORANGE#3 Georgia d. #6 Ole Miss
ROSE#1 OHIO STATE d. #8 MINNESOTA
SUGAR#2 Texas d. #7 PENN STATE
JANUARY 2
ARMED FORCESBaylor (6-6) vs. UTSA (9-4)
LIBERTYCincinnati (8-4) vs. Texas A&M (6-6)
MAYO#10 Clemson (10-2) vs. #23 Vanderbilt (8-4)
JANUARY 8
FIESTA#1 OHIO STATE (14-0) vs. #4 OREGON (12-2)
JANUARY 9
PEACH#2 Texas (12-2) vs. #3 Georgia (12-2)
JANUARY 19
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #139 on: August 20, 2025, 01:53:49 PM »
Cool, OSU-Oregon 2.0 and Texas-Georgia 3.0
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