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Topic: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation

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ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2025, 10:55:43 AM »



ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2025, 11:08:46 AM »
SEPTEMBER 7 POLL
  • OHIO STATE (2-0) 1
  • OREGON (2-0) 2
  • Georgia (2-0) 3
  • Notre Dame (1-0) 4
  • Texas (1-1) 5
  • PENN STATE (2-0) 6
  • Alabama (2-0) 7
  • Clemson (2-0) 8
  • ILLINOIS (2-0) 10
  • Texas A&M (2-0) 11
  • Tennessee (2-0) 12
  • Oklahoma (2-0) 22
  • LSU (1-1) 13
  • Ole Miss (2-0) 14
  • Miami (1-1) 15
  • South Carolina (2-0) 16
  • MICHIGAN (1-1) 9
  • Missouri (2-0) 18
  • SMU (2-0) 19
  • Florida (2-0) 20
  • Kansas State (3-0) 21
  • INDIANA (2-0) 23
  • Mississippi State (2-0) -
  • Boise State (2-0) 24
  • Arkansas (2-0) 25

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2025, 11:16:16 AM »
Bama has an eight week stretch where they play six teams projected to be ranked and a team that beat them last year.  That is rough.  


jgvol

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2025, 12:00:06 PM »
Bama has an eight week stretch where they play six teams projected to be ranked and a team that beat them last year.  That is rough. 



What a shame.  My heart hurts for them.

SFBadger96

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2025, 12:03:01 PM »
And Wisconsin! Reading the beat reporters right now has convinced me Bama better not sleep on the new-look Badgers! :-)

/sarcasm (mostly)

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2025, 02:35:05 PM »
What a shame.  My heart hurts for them.
I'm sure you won't shed any tears for @OrangeAfroMan 's Gators either but this 5-week stretch is pretty rough as well:

It doesn't get much easier for them.  After that they get MissSt at home then a week off then #4 in the WLOCP, at UK, and at #15 OleMiss.  Then they host your #14 Volunteers.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2025, 02:40:20 PM »
I made this table based on @ELA 's projected preseason poll from above, if I missed anything please let me know and I'll add it:


One interesting thing that I noticed in putting this together is that the neutral site game in Dublin, Ireland on August 23 between Kansas State and Iowa State might be easy to overlook but it could have a major impact in determining which B12 team makes the playoffs.  The B12 only has three ranked teams:

  • #17 ASU
  • #21 KSU
  • #24 ISU
The top-2 do NOT play each other so the key games are KSU/ISU in Dublin in "week 0" and ASU/ISU in Ames on November 1. 
« Last Edit: July 31, 2025, 04:39:30 PM by medinabuckeye1 »

847badgerfan

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #21 on: July 31, 2025, 02:41:48 PM »
And Wisconsin! Reading the beat reporters right now has convinced me Bama better not sleep on the new-look Badgers! :-)

/sarcasm (mostly)
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

SFBadger96

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #22 on: July 31, 2025, 06:26:52 PM »
4-0 headed into the first break.

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #23 on: July 31, 2025, 07:52:39 PM »
Wow, didn't realize the cake walk Kansas State had to the Big XII Championship

I will say, the predictive metrics do love Texas Tech, so that might be the wrench

Temp430

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #24 on: Today at 07:35:31 AM »
UCLA d. Utah?  What happened to Utah?
A decade of Victory over Penn State.

All in since 1969

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #25 on: Today at 08:43:51 AM »
well, UCLA is a Big Ten team now so, ..............the Bruins got way better by association

kinda like the SEC
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #26 on: Today at 02:09:39 PM »
The season simulation has Husker football going 1-1 against the Michigan schools.


https://www.si.com/college/nebraska/football/huskermax-season-sim-nebraska-suffers-first-loss-of-2025-cornhuskers-football-big-ten

Both Michigan and Nebraska would keep exchanging touchdowns to make it 48-34 with a little more than two minutes to go in the game, but Raiola ended up throwing a game-sealing interception. The Wolverines could just kneel it out from there after a first down on the ensuing possession.


Up Next - Michigan @ Nebraska Sim: End of Game, Michigan Wins 48-34.mp4


Although short-lived, Nebraska's undefeated season comes to an end at the hands of Michigan 48-34. Michigan ended up winning in nearly every statistical category in the game. They tallied 508 yards of total offense despite the slow start, but neither team could get anything going on the ground in this game. The Wolverines averaged 3.7 yards per rush, while Nebraska and lead back Emmett Johnson really struggled, managing just 2.1 yards per rush.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #27 on: Today at 02:26:55 PM »
WEEK THREE
Thursday, September 11
NC State d. Wake Forest

Friday, September 12
Arizona d. #21 Kansas State
#22 INDIANA d. Indiana State

Houston d. Colorado
Syracuse d. Colgate
UCLA d. New Mexico

Saturday, September 13
ESPN College Gameday, live from South Bend, IN
#10 Texas A&M d. #4 Notre Dame

#1 OHIO STATE d. Ohio
#2 OREGON d. NORTHWESTERN
#3 Georgia d. #11 Tennessee
#5 Texas d. UTEP
#6 PENN STATE d. Villanova
#7 Alabama d. WISCONSIN
#8 Clemson d. Georgia Tech
#9 ILLINOIS d. Western Michigan
#12 Oklahoma d. Temple
#13 LSU d. #20 Florida
#14 Ole Miss d. #25 Arkansas
#15 Miami d. South Florida
#16 South Carolina d. Vanderbilt
#17 MICHIGAN d. Central Michigan
#18 Missouri d. Louisiana
#19 SMU d. Missouri State
#23 Mississippi State d. Alcorn State

Air Force d. Utah State
Arizona State d. Texas State
Auburn d. South Alabama
Ball State d. New Hampshire
Baylor d. Samford
Bowling Green d. Liberty
Buffalo d. Kent State
Charlotte d. Monmouth
Cincinnati d. Northwestern State
Coastal Carolina d. East Carolina
Connecticut d. Delaware
Florida Atlantic d. FIU
Fresno State d. Southern
Georgia Southern d. Jacksonville State
Georgia State d. Murray State
Hawaii d. Portland State
IOWA d. Massachusetts
Kennesaw State d. Merrimack
Kentucky d. Eastern Michigan
Louisiana Tech d. NM State
Marshall d. Eastern Kentucky
MARYLAND d. Towson
Memphis d. Troy
MICHIGAN STATE d. Youngstown State
MINNESOTA d. California
Navy d. Tulsa
NEBRASKA d. Houston Christian
Nevada d. Middle Tennessee
North Carolina d. Richmond
North Texas d. Washington State
Pittsburgh d. West Virginia
Rice d. Prairie View A&M
RUTGERS d. Norfolk State
Southern Miss d. Appalachian State
Stanford d. Boston College
TCU d. Abilene Christian
Texas Tech d. Oregon State
Toledo d. Morgan State
Tulane d. Duke
UAB d. Akron
USC d. PURDUE
Utah d. Wyoming
UTSA d. Incarnate Word
Virginia d. William & Mary
Virginia Tech d. Old Dominion

 

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