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Topic: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation

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ELA

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2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« on: July 30, 2025, 02:19:58 PM »
Same as before.  Using the combined SP+/FPI rankings to simulate each game.

Preseason Poll Projection

  • OHIO STATE
  • Texas
  • OREGON
  • Georgia
  • PENN STATE
  • Notre Dame
  • Alabama
  • LSU
  • Clemson
  • Miami
  • MICHIGAN
  • ILLINOIS
  • Texas A&M
  • Tennessee
  • Ole Miss
  • South Carolina
  • Arizona State
  • Missouri
  • SMU
  • Florida
  • Kansas State
  • Oklahoma
  • INDIANA
  • Iowa State
  • Boise State


847badgerfan

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2025, 02:24:44 PM »
Man, I was really hoping for this. Thanks.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2025, 02:43:15 PM »
WEEK ZERO
  • #21 Kansas State d. #24 Iowa State

  • Kansas d. Fresno State
  • Sam Houston d. Western Kentucky
  • Stanford d. Hawaii
  • UNLV d. Idaho State

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2025, 02:45:21 PM »
Also, to make it a little fun, I always slightly adjust if you are +/- 2 in upsets to allow for over and underperforming teams

Cincydawg

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2025, 02:46:12 PM »
I predict UGA starts 2-0.

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2025, 03:18:12 PM »
11 from the SEC in the top 25??
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2025, 03:24:55 PM »
11 from the SEC in the top 25??
Lower than usual.

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2025, 03:36:10 PM »
somebody believes in the Boomer Sooners
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Mdot21

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2025, 05:40:56 PM »
man advanced metrics must really like the defense, cause Michigan at #11 is a lot higher than I'd have them.

I THINK that Michigan could rebound in a huge way, but pinning the hopes on a 17 year old true freshman QB who won't turn 18 until the season starts seems like a risky proposition. On one hand the QB play probably can't get any worse than it was last year. Having said that- true frosh QB's are prone to make mistakes- if you start him- you're just going to have to live with the growing pains as he figures it out and that might cost you some games.

Defense should be lights out and very deep- and probably even better in year 2 of Wink Martindale's scheme. RB duo should be top tier with Jordan Marshall & Justice Haynes. OL should improve some- RT Andrew Sprague is a budding superstar future 1st rd tackle imo. They lost Colston Loveland but Marlin Klein is an up and comer who has proven he can play at this level and they have lots of young emerging TE talent and have recruited well at the position. WR is the biggest ? on the entire offense outside of QB imo.

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2025, 05:44:54 PM »
WEEK ONE
Thursday, August 28
  • #18 Missouri d. Central Arkansas
  • #25 Boise State d. South Florida

  • Bowling Green d. Lafayette
  • Central Florida d. Jacksonville State
  • Delaware d. Delaware State
  • Duke d. Elon
  • Houston d. Stephen F. Austin
  • MINNESOTA d. Buffalo
  • NC State d. East Carolina
  • NEBRASKA d. Cincinnati
  • Oklahoma State d. UT Martin
  • RUTGERS d. Ohio
  • San Diego State d. Stony Brook
  • UAB d. Alabama State
  • UL Monroe d. St. Francis(PA)
  • WISCONSIN d. Miami(Ohio)
  • Wyoming d. Akron

Friday, August 29
  • #12 ILLINOIS d. Western Illinois

  • Appalachian State d. Charlotte
  • Army d. Tarleton State
  • Baylor d. Auburn
  • Central Michigan d. San Jose State
  • FIU d. Bethune-Cookman
  • Georgia Tech d. Colorado
  • Kansas d. Wagner
  • MICHIGAN STATE d. Western Michigan
  • UNLV d. Sam Houston
  • Wake Forest d. Kennesaw State

Saturday, August 30
ESPN College Gameday, live from Columbus, OH
  • #1 OHIO STATE d. #2 Texas

  • #3 OREGON d. Montana State
  • #4 Georgia d. Marshall
  • #5 PENN STATE d. Nevada
  • #7 Alabama d. Florida State
  • #9 Clemson d. #8 LSU
  • #11 MICHIGAN d. New Mexico
  • #13 Texas A&M d. UTSA
  • #14 Tennessee d. Syracuse
  • #15 Ole Miss d. Georgia State
  • #17 Arizona State d. Northern Arizona
  • #19 SMU d. East Texas A&M
  • #20 Florida d. Long Island
  • #21 Kansas State d. North Dakota
  • #22 Oklahoma d. Illinois State
  • #23 INDIANA d. Old Dominion
  • #24 Iowa State d. South Dakota

  • Air Force d. Bucknell
  • Arizona d. Hawaii
  • Arkansas d. Alabama A&M
  • Arkansas State d. SE Missouri State
  • Boston College d. Fordham
  • BYU d. Portland State
  • Connecticut d. Central Connecticut
  • Florida Atlantic d. MARYLAND
  • Georgia Southern d. Fresno State
  • IOWA d. Albany
  • James Madison d. Weber State
  • Kent State d. Merrimack
  • Kentucky d. Toledo
  • Liberty d. Maine
  • Louisiana d. Rice
  • Louisiana Tech d. SE Louisiana
  • Louisville d. Eastern Kentucky
  • Memphis d. Chattanooga
  • Middle Tennessee d. Austin Peay
  • Mississippi State d. Southern Miss
  • Navy d. VMI
  • NM State d. Bryant
  • North Texas d. Lamar
  • Northern Illinois d. Holy Cross
  • Oregon State d. California
  • Pittsburgh d. Syracuse
  • PURDUE d. Ball State
  • South Alabama d. Morgan State
  • Temple d. Massachusetts
  • Texas State d. Eastern Michigan
  • Texas Tech d. UAPB
  • Troy d. Nicholls
  • Tulane d. NORTHWESTERN
  • Tulsa d. Abilene Christian
  • UCLA d. Utah
  • USC d. Missouri State
  • Utah State d. UTEP
  • Vanderbilt d. Charleston Southern
  • Virginia d. Coastal Carolina
  • WASHINGTON d. Colorado State
  • Washington State d. Idaho
  • West Virginia d. Robert Morris
  • Western Kentucky d. North Alabama

Sunday, August 31
  • #16 South Carolina d. Virginia Tech
  • #6 Notre Dame d. #10 Miami

Monday, September 1
  • North Carolina d. TCU

ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2025, 05:51:45 PM »



ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2025, 06:04:44 PM »
SEPTEMBER 2 POLL

  • OHIO STATE (1-0) 1
  • OREGON (1-0) 3
  • Georgia (1-0) 4
  • Notre Dame (1-0) 6
  • Texas (0-1) 2
  • PENN STATE (1-0) 5
  • Alabama (1-0) 7
  • Clemson (1-0) 9
  • MICHIGAN (1-0) 11
  • ILLINOIS (1-0) 12
  • Texas A&M (1-0) 13
  • Tennessee (1-0) 14
  • LSU (0-1) 8
  • Ole Miss (1-0) 15
  • Miami (0-1) 10
  • South Carolina (1-0) 16
  • Arizona State (1-0) 17
  • Missouri (1-0) 18
  • SMU (1-0) 19
  • Florida (1-0) 20
  • Kansas State (2-0) 21
  • Oklahoma (1-0) 22
  • INDIANA (1-0) 23
  • Boise State (1-0) 25
  • Arkansas (1-0) -



ELA

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #12 on: Today at 10:35:40 AM »
WEEK 2
Friday, September 5
#24 Boise State d. Eastern Washington

James Madison d. Louisville
MARYLAND d. Northern Illinois
NORTHWESTERN d. Western Illinois

Saturday, September 6
ESPN College Gameday, live from Norman, OK
#22 Oklahoma d. #9 MICHIGAN

#1 OHIO STATE d. Grambling
#2 OREGON d. Oklahoma State
#3 Georgia d. Austin Peay
#5 Texas d. San Jose State
#6 PENN STATE d. FIU
#7 Alabama d. UL Monroe
#8 Clemson d. Troy
#10 ILLINOIS d. Duke
#11 Texas A&M d. Utah State
#12 Tennessee d. East Tennessee State
#13 LSU d. Louisiana Tech
#14 Ole Miss d. Kentucky
#15 Miami d. Bethune-Cookman
#16 South Carolina d. SC State
Mississippi State d. #17 Arizona State
#18 Missouri d. Kansas
#19 SMU d. Baylor
#20 Florida d. South Florida
#21 Kansas State d. Army
#23 INDIANA d. Kennesaw State
#25 Arkansas d. Arkansas State

Appalachian State d. Lindenwood
Arizona d. Weber State
Auburn d. Ball State
Buffalo d. St. Francis(PA)
BYU d. Stanford
California d. Texas Southern
Central Florida d. North Carolina A&T
Coastal Carolina d. Charleston Southern
Colorado d. Delaware
Colorado State d. Northern Colorado
Connecticut d. Syracuse
East Carolina d. Campbell
Eastern Michigan d. Long Island
Florida Atlantic d. Florida A&M
Florida State d. East Texas A&M
Georgia Tech d. Gardner-Webb
Iowa State d. IOWA
Liberty d. Jacksonville State
Louisiana d. McNeese
Marshall d. Missouri State
Massachusetts d. Bryant
Memphis d. Georgia State
MICHIGAN STATE d. Boston College
Mississippi State d. Arizona State
MINNESOTA d. Northwestern State
Navy d. UAB
NEBRASKA d. Akron
Nevada d. Sacramento State
New Mexico d. Idaho State
NM State d. Tulsa
North Carolina d. Charlotte
North Texas d. Western Michigan
Ohio d. West Virginia
Old Dominion d. NC Central
Oregon State d. Fresno State
Pittsburgh d. Central Michigan
PURDUE d. Southern Illinois
Rice d. Houston
RUTGERS d. Miami(Ohio)
Sam Houston d. Hawaii
South Alabama d. Tulane
Southern Miss d. Jackson State
Temple d. Howard
Texas Tech d. Kent State
Toledo d. Western Kentucky
USC d. Georgia Southern
UNLV d. UCLA
Utah d. Cal Poly
UTEP d. UT Martin
UTSA d. Texas State
Vanderbilt d. Virginia Tech
Virginia d. NC State
Wake Forest d. Western Carolina
WASHINGTON d. UC Davis
Washington State d. San Diego State
WISCONSIN d. Western Kentucky
Wyoming d. Northern Iowa

utee94

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Re: 2025 SP+/FPI season simulation
« Reply #13 on: Today at 10:37:39 AM »

Saturday, August 30
ESPN College Gameday, live from Columbus, OH
  • #1 OHIO STATE d. #2 Texas
This entire thing is BULLSHIT, man!

 

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