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Topic: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition

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ELA

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2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« on: July 15, 2025, 09:05:37 PM »
BALL STATE --- W (82%)
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS --- W (88%)
USC --- L (19%)
@Notre Dame --- L (3%)
ILLINOIS --- L (30%)
@Minnesota --- L (12%)
@Northwestern --- L (36%)
RUTGERS --- L (33%)
@Michigan --- L (3%)
OSU --- L (2%)
@Washington --- L (15%)
INDIANA --- L (15%)

Straight up (0-9, 2-10), but weighted O/U 3.5 wins

ELA

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2025, 09:08:12 PM »
Those first 2 seem guaranteed, so to me it's whether you see 2 more wins.  I'd take the over, but that's a rough schedule

FearlessF

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2025, 09:20:15 PM »
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

847badgerfan

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2025, 07:25:56 AM »
Over.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #4 on: July 17, 2025, 03:09:05 PM »
under

Abba

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2025, 09:09:13 PM »
Gonna go under here, but it's close.  The big problem is that the most winnable games are on the road.  Maybe they'll spring a home upset against one of Illinois, Rutgers, USC or Indiana.  Then they have to steal a road game against either Northwestern or Minnesota.  

Temp430

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #6 on: Today at 06:39:19 AM »
2-10
A decade of Victory over Penn State.

All in since 1969

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #7 on: Today at 08:50:44 AM »
The teams at the margins (the ones you are starting with) are so difficult to predict because all or nearly all of the upsets go the same way.  

What I mean is that tOSU's straight up prediction is 12-0 and weighted is a little under 11-1 so the O/U is already projecting one upset.  The Buckeyes can't have any positive upsets and the 11-1 mark already builds in one negative upset.  There is no offset.  Similar for Purdue here:  Straight up is 2-10 and the weighted prediction of 4-8 already builds in two upsets but additional upsets would almost all be positive.  

When you look at a team projected to go 6-6 you can guesstimate that if they are involved in four upsets it will be two up and two down and they'll still be 6-6 just with two unexpected wins over better teams and two unexpected losses to worse teams.  

I'm going under for Purdue just because that schedule including HFA is brutal.  I'd feel a lot better about 5-7 if they got NU and UDub at home but with those as road-trips that doesn't leave a lot of reasonable opportunities to pick up a win.  

Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2025 Purdue Record Predcition
« Reply #8 on: Today at 08:58:21 AM »
Over
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

 

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