2025-2026 B1G Basketball Thread

[ELA]

Rock fights from here out


https://twitter.com/SpartyWRLD/status/2011454365819863507?s=20

[bayareabadger]

Rock fights from here out


https://twitter.com/SpartyWRLD/status/2011454365819863507?s=20

Izzo is so happy. 

[medinabuckeye1]

My thought on this team is just getting to the tournament would be enough.

According to @ELA 's table, Ohio State and Wisconsin are nearly identical and I think the situation is similar for both.  On any given good day they can have a great game and light someone up (ie, UW winning in Ann Arbor) but on a bad day they are vulnerable to any B1G team.  I think both will wind up somewhere close to the bubble with the difference being a few buckets here or there.  Despite @ELA 's table ranking them almost identically, Wisconsin seems to be in a little better place largely because of the upset win in Ann Arbor.  

[bayareabadger]

According to @ELA 's table, Ohio State and Wisconsin are nearly identical and I think the situation is similar for both.  On any given good day they can have a great game and light someone up (ie, UW winning in Ann Arbor) but on a bad day they are vulnerable to any B1G team.  I think both will wind up somewhere close to the bubble with the difference being a few buckets here or there.  Despite @ELA 's table ranking them almost identically, Wisconsin seems to be in a little better place largely because of the upset win in Ann Arbor. 

The table is just net efficiency and conference play, which isn’t all that meaningful early on.

I saw one metric that has OSU in worse shape by a decent margin, though I suppose that reflects Ohio State being a bit behind and having a bunch oh harder games ahead. 

[ELA]

Yeah, it's like a 6 game sample size.

However, KenPom has Wisconsin #37 and Ohio State #38

[bayareabadger]

Yeah, it's like a 6 game sample size.

However, KenPom has Wisconsin #37 and Ohio State #38

That’s true. I don’t pay for KenPom, and thus am using T-Rank where the gap is 36-43, but it just looks like UW is in a better spot.

The Badgers are a win ahead, have the Michigan win and a slightly better set of Q1/Q2 wins. But more than that, the schedule stands out.

Again, per T-Rank, Wisconsin has three games harder than at OSU. The Buckeyes have seven games harder than that one. Wisconsin has five games left vs teams better than OSU, two at home. OSU has seven vs teams better than UW, three at home, one neutral.

Not that OSU can’t make it work, but with fine margins and needing the big wins, the path is tighter.

[ELA]

BPI has OSU #36 and Wisconsin #37.

But the resume metrics favor Wisconsin, and Wisconsin has the substantially easier schedule going forward.  Wisconsin actually has the easiest remaining schedule in the conference, based on BPI, which is the only free metric which measures that.

Wisconsin has been the 5th "luckiest" team in the conference, which is just essentially record vs. expected record based on efficiencies.  Which is why I love SOR when it comes to selecting teams.  Don't use it to gamble, but use it to choose teams.  OSU is #16.  Sadly USC and Rutgers are #1 and #2