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Topic: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1344 on: March 31, 2025, 11:52:39 AM »
However, looking at just ONE Tournament this is an issue.  If TxTech manages to protect a nine point lead that should have been insurmountable and Purdue manages to win a game that they were within one possession of at the 00:02 mark then things are a lot different.  #1 seeds Florida and Houston are gone replaced by #3 TxTech and either #4 Purdue or #2 Tennessee. 
Yep. And Purdue was tied at that 00:02 mark guarding an inbounds. If they'd done a better job, it's OT. 

And I'm not going to be sour grapes and litigate the referees, but there were two fairly egregious late OOB calls where the ball was awarded to Houston but replay showed it conclusively being Purdue's ball, but with the new rules it's not reviewable so Houston got the ball. 

In a small sample size that randomness shows up as "well yeah, the #1 advanced" but it's why we don't rely on such a small sample size. 

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1345 on: March 31, 2025, 12:11:49 PM »
Yep. And Purdue was tied at that 00:02 mark guarding an inbounds. If they'd done a better job, it's OT.

And I'm not going to be sour grapes and litigate the referees, but there were two fairly egregious late OOB calls where the ball was awarded to Houston but replay showed it conclusively being Purdue's ball, but with the new rules it's not reviewable so Houston got the ball.

In a small sample size that randomness shows up as "well yeah, the #1 advanced" but it's why we don't rely on such a small sample size.
Exactly and, as you said, we'll see how things look 2-3-4 years out.  The F4 participants have been:
  • 67 #1 seeds, 41.88%, 1.68 per year
  • 31 #2 seeds, 19.38%, 0.78 per year
  • 17 #3 seeds, 10.63%, one every 2.35 years
  • 15 #4 seeds, 9.38%, one every 2.67 years
  • 9 #5 seeds, 5.63%, one every 4.44 years
  • 3 #6 seeds, 1.88%, one every 13.33 years
  • 3 #7 seeds, 1.88%, one every 13.33 years
  • 6 #8 seeds, 3.75%, one every 6.67 years
  • 2 #9 seeds, 1.25%, one every 20 years
  • 1 #10 seed, 0.63%, one every 40 years
  • 6 #11 seeds, 3.75%, one every 6.67 years

This year's F4 isn't THAT far off and we have had four #1 seeds before.  The question is what will the next few look like.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1346 on: March 31, 2025, 05:49:51 PM »
Analyzing the B1G's 2025 NCAA Tournament Performance:

We had:

  • 1 #2 seed, MSU
  • 1 #3 seed, Wisconsin
  • 2 #4 seeds, Purdue and Maryland
  • 2 #5 seeds, Michigan and Oregon
  • 1 #6 seed, Illinois
  • 1 #7 seed, UCLA
Here is what they achieved compared to the 40 Tournament average for those seeds:

Those seeds should have resulted in 5.88 teams in the second round, we got 8 so overperformed in the first round.  

Those seeds should have put 3.28 teams in the S16, we got 4 (MSU, PU, UMD, M) so overperformed in the second round.  

Those seeds should have put 1.34 teams in the E8, we got 1 (MSU) so underperformed in the S16.  

Those seeds should have put 0.64 teams in the F4, we got 0 so underperformed in the E8.  

Great opening which fits with the overall picture of this Tournament because they were all favorites and Chalk was king but then faded which also fits because as we moved on we became underdogs and mostly lost.  

MarqHusker

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1347 on: April 05, 2025, 08:38:47 PM »
Does Florida have any ball handlers?

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1348 on: April 05, 2025, 08:50:02 PM »
Game. Set. Match.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1349 on: April 05, 2025, 09:21:54 PM »
Does Florida have any ball handlers?

ELA

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1350 on: April 05, 2025, 11:21:09 PM »
Does Florida have any ball handlers?
I mean they bought a whole roster, youd think they would have

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1351 on: April 05, 2025, 11:22:40 PM »
You sound bitter.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

MarqHusker

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1352 on: April 05, 2025, 11:42:14 PM »
They seemed to have guys out there w ten thumbs and inability to get the inbounds down the stretch.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1353 on: April 06, 2025, 12:00:54 AM »
As if we didn't win, lol.  

Thanks for taking care of Duke, UH!  Good luck on Monday.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

ELA

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1354 on: April 06, 2025, 12:02:12 AM »
You sound bitter. 
No, it is what it is.  Floridas entire starting lineup began elsewhere.  Florida bought them, and the investment paid off   But I cant imagine giving a shit about how they do

ELA

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1355 on: April 06, 2025, 12:04:02 AM »
As if we didn't win, lol. 

Thanks for taking care of Duke, UH!  Good luck on Monday.
We?

My parents stay in Ganesville one night each way down to their winter home, and I would bet they have spent more time in Ganesville than the entire team wearing some laundry for a couple months for pay

ELA

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1356 on: April 06, 2025, 12:08:54 AM »
And for the record, OSU just bought a national championship out of the portal.  So its nothing against Florida.  I just stand by wondering how you can possibly care how a bunch of dudes fare who just slapped on some laundry for a couple months who happened to match your laundry

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2024-2025 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #1357 on: April 06, 2025, 12:09:03 AM »
You saw that graphic of the sweet 16 teams and where their starting 5s began, right?  Stop acting jealous and hate the system, not the Gators.

No one ends up where they start, especially elite guys.  It sucks, but it is what it is.  

Or maybe just beat Auburn, lol.  

Yes, we.  I'm an alum.  And I care more about spring football than I do basketball.  WE.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

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