My thoughts this year is there are 4 games where they will be substantial underdogs (UM, OSU, PSU, Washington). Probably 2 games where they will be slight underdogs (at Iowa, at Minnesota). 2 games where they are slight favorites (Maryland and Nebraska at home). 4 games where they should be favored (CMU, Richmond, Rutgers, Indiana).
I'll be optimistic and say they upset either PSU or Washington, and split the 4 toss upish games, and go 7-5. Worst case is probably 5-7, losing all 4, and going 1-3 in the toss ups.
So, guessing 6-6