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Topic: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation
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medinabuckeye1 · « **Reply #56 on:** August 17, 2022, 12:08:27 PM »

Quote from: Cincydawg on August 17, 2022, 12:05:39 PM

Would you choose ...

A. Your team finishes 8-5 with a bowl game win over nobody but you beat your hated rival, or

B. Your team finishes 12-2 with losses to both HR and in CFP.

I think the answer to this depends largely on recent experience.

During the late Cooper era the Buckeyes had a lot of seasons similar to B above and I'd have picked A.

ELA · « **Reply #57 on:** August 17, 2022, 02:54:04 PM »

I think the reaching the CFP part changes it. B seems obvious there. I think if you change it to 2021 OSU's season, 11-2, with a Rose Bowl win, it gets tougher. In 1998, I'd still choose B. Hell, maybe even in 2008. Now, eh, it's all a wash outside the CFP anyway, so I'd take the bragging rights

ELA · « **Reply #58 on:** August 17, 2022, 06:44:45 PM »

WEEK 8
Wednesday, October 19

Appalachian State d. Georgia State

Thursday, October 20

Georgia Tech d. Virginia
Troy d. South Alabama

Friday, October 21

Tulsa d. Temple
Western Kentucky d. UAB

Saturday, October 22
ESPN College Gameday, live from Columbus, OH
#1 OHIO STATE d. #13 IOWA

#4 Notre Dame d. UNLV
#5 Ole Miss d. #20 LSU
#6 Oregon d. #11 UCLA
#7 Oklahoma State d. Texas
#8 Alabama d. Mississippi State
#17 Syracuse d. #9 Clemson
#10 Houston d. Navy
#14 Pittsburgh d. Louisville
#15 Cincinnati d. SMU
#16 Texas A&M d. South Carolina
Stanford d. #19 Arizona State
#23 PURDUE d. #21 WISCONSIN
#22 Tennessee d. UT-Martin
#24 Washington d. California
#25 Baylor d. Kansas

Army d. UL Monroe
Ball State d. Eastern Michigan
Boise State d. Air Force
Central Florida d. East Carolina
Central Michigan d. Bowling Green
Colorado State d. Hawaii
FIU d. Charlotte
Florida Atlantic d. UTEP
Fresno State d. New Mexico
INDIANA d. RUTGERS
Kent State d. Akron
Liberty d. BYU
Louisiana d. Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech d. Rice
Marshall d. James Madison
Memphis d. Tulane
Miami d. Duke
Missouri d. Vanderbilt
Northern Illinois d. Ohio
NORTHWESTERN d. MARYLAND
Old Dominion d. Georgia Southern
Oregon State d. Colorado
PENN STATE d. MINNESOTA
San Diego State d. Nevada
San Jose State d. NM State
TCU d. Kansas State
Texas State d. Southern Miss
Texas Tech d. West Virginia
Toledo d. Buffalo
Utah State d. Wyoming
UTSA d. North Texas
Wake Forest d. Boston College
Western Michigan d. Miami(Ohio)

ELA · « **Reply #59 on:** August 17, 2022, 06:55:11 PM »

No time to update standings tonight

October 23 Poll

OHIO STATE (7-0) 1
Georgia (7-0) 2
MICHIGAN (7-0) 3
Notre Dame (6-1) 4
Ole Miss (8-0) 5
Oregon (6-1) 6
Oklahoma State (6-1) 7
Alabama (7-1) 8
Syracuse (7-0) 17
Houston (6-0) 10
Utah (6-1) 12
Pittsburgh (7-0) 14
Cincinnati (7-0) 15
Texas A&M (5-2) 16
NEBRASKA (5-1) 18
Clemson (6-2) 9
UCLA (6-1) 11
PURDUE (6-2) 23
IOWA (5-2) 13
Tennessee (5-2) 22
Washington (6-2) 24
Baylor (5-2) 25
North Carolina (6-1) -
LSU (6-2) 20
Auburn (5-2) -

Abba · « **Reply #60 on:** August 17, 2022, 10:27:17 PM »

Wow, Maryland is really going down the toilet here.

Temp430 · « **Reply #61 on:** August 18, 2022, 06:50:16 AM »

Penn State (1-2) 3-3?

Sean Clifford is back for his sixth year. Where's the love?

medinabuckeye1 · « **Reply #62 on:** August 18, 2022, 09:04:29 AM »

Quote from: ELA on August 17, 2022, 02:54:04 PM

I think the reaching the CFP part changes it. B seems obvious there. I think if you change it to 2021 OSU's season, 11-2, with a Rose Bowl win, it gets tougher. In 1998, I'd still choose B. Hell, maybe even in 2008. Now, eh, it's all a wash outside the CFP anyway, so I'd take the bragging rights

It is interesting how much the CFP has changed the dynamic here.

Part of it is that going to the Rose Bowl is no longer synonymous with winning the league.

In 1998 (from @ELA 's example) an 11-2 Rose Bowl winning season for Ohio State meant, at a minimum, that the team tied for the league title and won the tiebreaker so even with a loss to the archrival Buckeye fans would still have league title bragging rights over them and everybody else.

In 2021 Ohio State went to the Rose Bowl but it was as Michigan's replacement because Michigan won the league and went to the CFP which is now the prime goal.

The actual B1G Champion going to the Rose Bowl has become a rarity, by season:

2021: League Champion Michigan went to the CFP, Ohio State beat Pac Champion Utah in the Rose Bowl.
2020: Roae Bowl was a CFP semi-final (played in Texas due to Covid), league Champion Ohio State went to the CFP.
2019: League Champion Ohio State went to the CFP, Wisconsin lost to Pac Champion Oregon in the Rose Bowl.
2018: League Champion Ohio State beat Pac Champion Washington in the Rose Bowl.
2017: Rose Bowl was a CFP semi-final, league Champion Ohio State beat Pac Champion USC in the Cotton Bowl.
2016: League Champion Penn State lost to Pac Champion USC in the Rose Bowl but this still "felt" like a letdown for PSU because Ohio State got the bigger prize of a CFP berth.
2015: League Champion MSU went to the CFP, Iowa lost to Pac Champion Stanford in the Rose Bowl.
2014: Rose Bowl was a CFP semi-final, league Champion Ohio State went to the CFP.
2013: League Champion Michigan State beat Pac Champion Stanford in the Rose Bowl.
2012: League Champion Wisconsin lost to Pac Champion Stanford in the Rose Bowl.

So in the last 10 seasons our Champion has played the Pac Champion in the Rose Bowl only four times (2-2). Our Champion also beat the Pac Champion twice in other postseason games.

The Rose Bowl was a CFP semi-final three times and our Champion missed an additional three Rose Bowls due to getting into the CFP.

The four of the last 10 years when our Champion did not play the Pac Champion in a postseason game were:

2015: Their Champion destroyed ours in the Rose Bowl and our Champion got destroyed in the CFP. I think it is fair to say that their Champion likely would have beaten ours.
2019: Their Champion beat our CG loser in a VERY close game and our Champion lost a VERY close CFP semi-final. I think it is fair to say that our Champion would have likely beaten theirs.
2020: Our Champion won a CFP semi-final and lost the CFPCG. Their Champion lost their Bowl. I think it is fair to say that our Champion would have likely beaten theirs.
2021: Their Champion lost the Rose Bowl to a non-Champion from our league. I think it is fair to say that our Champion would have likely beaten theirs.

Cincydawg · « **Reply #63 on:** August 18, 2022, 09:09:08 AM »

I told y'all UCLA would be a sumthin ... see?

Abba · « **Reply #64 on:** August 18, 2022, 11:12:16 AM »

Quote from: Cincydawg on August 18, 2022, 09:09:08 AM

I told y'all UCLA would be a sumthin ... see?

Just remember that this system picked Indiana to go the CFP last year. But I love it anyways.

ELA · « **Reply #65 on:** August 18, 2022, 04:03:10 PM »

WEEK 9
Thursday, October 27

#11 Utah d. Washington State

NC State d. Virginia Tech
Southern Miss d. Louisiana

Friday, October 28

East Carolina d. BYU
Louisiana Tech d. FIU

Saturday, October 29
ESPN College Gameday, live from Syracuse, NY
#4 Notre Dame d. #9 Syracuse

#1 OHIO STATE d. PENN STATE
#2 Georgia d. Florida
#3 MICHIGAN d. MICHIGAN STATE
#14 Texas A&M d. #5 Ole Miss
#6 Oregon d. California
Kansas State d. #7 Oklahoma State
#10 Houston d. South Florida
#23 North Carolina d. #12 Pittsburgh
Central Florida d. #13 Cincinnati
#15 NEBRASKA d. ILLINOIS
Stanford d. #17 UCLA
#19 IOWA d. NORTHWESTERN
#20 Tennessee d. Kentucky
#22 Baylor d. Texas Tech
#25 Auburn d. Arkansas

Akron d. Miami(Ohio)
Appalachian State d. Robert Morris
Arizona d. USC
Arizona State d. Colorado
Arkansas State d. South Alabama
Boston College d. Connecticut
Colorado State d. Boise State
Florida State d. Georgia Tech
Georgia State d. Old Dominion
Hawaii d. Wyoming
Marshall d. Coastal Carolina
Massachusetts d. NM State
Miami d. Virginia
MINNESOTA d. RUTGERS
Navy d. Temple
Nevada d. San Jose State
Oklahoma d. Iowa State
Rice d. Charlotte
San Diego State d. Fresno State
SMU d. Tulsa
South Carolina d. Missouri
Toledo d. Eastern Michigan
UAB d. Florida Atlantic
UTEP d. Middle Tennessee
Wake Forest d. Louisville
West Virginia d. TCU
Western Kentucky d. North Texas

Cincydawg · « **Reply #66 on:** August 18, 2022, 04:07:47 PM »

Beating Florida is always a good thing.

rolltidefan · « **Reply #67 on:** August 19, 2022, 09:58:51 AM »

Quote from: Cincydawg on August 18, 2022, 04:07:47 PM

Beating Florida is always a good thing.

so is beating tennessee, but i didn't get that pleasure this year. yes, i'm still salty.

Cincydawg · « **Reply #68 on:** August 19, 2022, 10:06:09 AM »

Yeah, I'd be hugely mad if my team lost to Tenn in a simulation game.

rolltidefan · « **Reply #69 on:** August 22, 2022, 09:54:15 AM »

Quote from: Cincydawg on August 19, 2022, 10:06:09 AM

Yeah, I'd be hugely mad if my team lost to Tenn in a simulation game.

it's devastating.

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Topic: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation

medinabuckeye1

Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation

ELA

Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation

ELA

Re: 2022 SP+/FPI Game by Game simulation

ELA

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Abba

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Temp430

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medinabuckeye1

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Cincydawg

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Abba

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ELA

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Cincydawg

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rolltidefan

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Cincydawg

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rolltidefan

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