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Topic: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #308 on: April 22, 2020, 12:26:56 AM »
I hear you on the advanced metrics, I love stats, and they're genuinely a better way to rate things.  BUT, it doesn't change the scoreboard in your favor, either.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

MaximumSam

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #309 on: April 22, 2020, 07:05:24 AM »
I hear you on the advanced metrics, I love stats, and they're genuinely a better way to rate things.  BUT, it doesn't change the scoreboard in your favor, either. 
Jameis threw seven pick sixes last year.  That's 42 points against the defense while they were watching from the sidelines

ELA

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #310 on: April 22, 2020, 10:29:27 AM »
FOURTH ROUND


107BengalsG Logan Stenberg, Kentucky
108RedskinsWR Van Jefferson, Florida
109LionsDE Alton Robinson, Syracuse
110GiantsWR K.J. HILL, OHIO STATE
111Texans (MIA)WR Bryan Edwards, South Carolina
112Raiders (LAC)S Brandon Jones, Texas
113PanthersG Solomon Kindley, Georgia
114CardinalsC Nick Harris, Washington
115BrownsDT Rashard Lawrence, LSU
116JaguarsDT Jason Strowbridge, North Carolina
117Seahawks (TB)T Saahdiq Charles, LSU
118BroncosDE KENNY WILLEKES, MICHIGAN STATE
119FalconsRB A.J. Dillon, Boston College
120JetsG John Simpson, Oregon
121RaidersDT Leki Fotu, Utah
122Packers (IND)TE Harrison Bryant, Florida Atlantic
123CowboysCB A.J. Green, Oklahoma State
124SteelersG Shane Lemieux, Oregon
125Patriots (CHI)OLB Willie Gay Jr., Mississippi State
126RamsRB ANTHONY MCFARLAND JR., MARYLAND
127EaglesG Hakeem Adenji, Kansas
128BillsDT Larrell Murchison, NC State
129Ravens (NE)WR Collin Johnson, Texas
130SaintsWR TYLER JOHNSON, MINNESOTA
131Cardinals (HOU)TE BRYCEN HOPKINS, PURDUE
132VikingsS K'Von Wallace, Clemson
133SeahawksRB Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Vanderbilt
134RavensILB Jacob Phillips, LSU
135Steelers (MIA)(TEN)T Jack Driscoll, Auburn
136PackersT Ben Bartch, St. John's (MN)
137Jaguars (SF) (DEN)DE Nick Coe, Auburn
138ChiefsDE Alex Highsmith, Charlotte
139Steelers (TB)WR Gabriel Davis, Central Florida
140Jaguars (CHI)OLB Davion Taylor, Colorado
141DolphinsS Julian Blackmon, Utah
142RedskinsT Trey Adams, Washington
143Falcons (BAL)CB MICHAEL OJEMUDIA, IOWA
144SeahawksDT McTelvin Agim, Arkansas
145EaglesCB LAMAR JACKSON, NEBRASKA
146EaglesQB Anthony Gordon, Washington State


OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #311 on: April 22, 2020, 10:47:47 AM »
Jameis threw seven pick sixes last year.  That's 42 points against the defense while they were watching from the sidelines
Okay, that moves them up from 29th to 24th.  Fantastic.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #312 on: April 22, 2020, 10:53:13 AM »
These draft projections, do they have ANY value past the first round (assuming they get a few right in round one)?

Are folks interested in the tight end in the fourth round and the 7,198th pick in the draft?

We already have, I think, opinions that Burrow is at least a notch or two below Luck/Palmer/Stafford, right?  Those three panned out aside from injuries (which of course is a reason not to draft anyone Numero Uno).  Burrow is not Manziel, I think we would agree, so he likely will be a pretty good NFL QB, just not a "sure thing" (??).


rolltidefan

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #313 on: April 22, 2020, 11:40:09 AM »
my thing with burrow is the consistency. last year was beyond phenomenal and we've seen he can be elite in decision making and reading a defense. and he did it for the entire season and against the best cfb has to offer, so those are major points for him. but it was only 1 season with at least a couple more we've seen when it was just ok. guys grow, and he certainly did, but the only worry i'd have about him is how much was that tied to his coaches. arm talent, size, etc is all nice, but it's his head/reads that make the qb. brady is a perfect example and manning towards end of his career arm was shot, but he was still effective if not great. burrow has more than enough arm talent to make it, just can he keep up the insane decision making and reads he did last season. dude was fun to watch pick apart defenses though.

tua, on the other hand, was remarkably consistent in his picking apart defenses for his entire career. his biggest worry is obvious to everyone... health.

Mdot21

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #314 on: April 22, 2020, 11:43:40 AM »
Same wavelength, but I have Thomas and Taylor off the board when they come up, but getting Mekhi Becton and JK Dobbins instead
As long as they get a legit starting tackle in the 1st and a really solid RB in the 2nd or 3rd- they will basically transform that offense into something that is almost impossible to stop. Dobbins would be a great fit for any offense, he's being slept on by so many people. And Becton might have the most upside of any tackle in the draft.

I have to admit though, I'd be really intrigued to see Jonathan Taylor with the Bucs. Adding a nearly 230 pound RB that can run inside and out and hit the homerun with 4.38 speed to go along with the WR/TE crew of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Gronk, OJ Howard, and Cameron Brate would be like a cheat code.

FearlessF

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #315 on: April 22, 2020, 12:24:55 PM »
my thing with burrow is the consistency. last year was beyond phenomenal and we've seen he can be elite in decision making and reading a defense. and he did it for the entire season and against the best cfb has to offer, so those are major points for him. but it was only 1 season with at least a couple more we've seen when it was just ok. guys grow, and he certainly did, but the only worry i'd have about him is how much was that tied to his coaches. arm talent, size, etc is all nice, but it's his head/reads that make the qb. brady is a perfect example and manning towards end of his career arm was shot, but he was still effective if not great. burrow has more than enough arm talent to make it, just can he keep up the insane decision making and reads he did last season. dude was fun to watch pick apart defenses though.

tua, on the other hand, was remarkably consistent in his picking apart defenses for his entire career. his biggest worry is obvious to everyone... health.
see wonderlic scores
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

FearlessF

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #316 on: April 22, 2020, 12:26:54 PM »
FOURTH ROUND


132VikingsS K'Von Wallace, Clemson
133SeahawksRB Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Vanderbilt
134RavensILB Jacob Phillips, LSU
135Steelers (MIA)(TEN)T Jack Driscoll, Auburn
136PackersT Ben Bartch, St. John's (MN)
137Jaguars (SF) (DEN)DE Nick Coe, Auburn
138ChiefsDE Alex Highsmith, Charlotte
139Steelers (TB)WR Gabriel Davis, Central Florida
140Jaguars (CHI)OLB Davion Taylor, Colorado
141DolphinsS Julian Blackmon, Utah
142RedskinsT Trey Adams, Washington
143Falcons (BAL)CB MICHAEL OJEMUDIA, IOWA
144SeahawksDT McTelvin Agim, Arkansas
145EaglesCB LAMAR JACKSON, NEBRASKA
146EaglesQB Anthony Gordon, Washington State


Speilman isn't the brightest and Zimmer loves defensive picks, but the Vikings are strong at Safety
they have more need at CB, Tackle, and WR
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

rolltidefan

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #317 on: April 22, 2020, 12:39:39 PM »

FearlessF

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #318 on: April 22, 2020, 12:41:46 PM »
Tua didn't fare as well as Burrow

I didn't check hand sizes - those seem to be important as well

I'd take Burrow in the first round, not the others
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ELA

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #319 on: April 22, 2020, 12:54:32 PM »
FIFTH ROUND

147BengalsILB MARKUS BAILEY, PURDUE
148Panthers (WAS)WR Quartney Davis, Texas A&N
149LionsRB Lamical Perine, Florida
150GiantsDE D.J. Wonnum, South Carolina
151ChargersILB JOE BACHIE, MICHIGAN STATE
152PanthersCB LAVERT HILL, MICHIGAN
153Dolphins (ARI)(MIA)WR Isaiah Hodgins, Oregon State
154Dolphins (PIT)(JAX)DE Jonathan Garvin, Miami
155Vikings (BUF)(CLE)DE Trevis Gipson, Tulsa
15649ers (DEN)WR Lynn Bowden Jr., Kentucky
157Jaguars (BAL)(ATL)C Darryl Williams, Mississippi State
158JetsWR James Proche, SMU
159Chargers (LV)RB Eno Benjamin, Arizona State
160Packers (IND)CB Essang Bassey, Wake Forest
161Steelers (TB)RB Antonio Gibson, Memphis
162Redskins (SEA)(PIT)T Alex Taylor, SC State
163BearsT Terence Steele, Texas Tech
164CowboysDT RAEKWON WILLIAMS, MICHIGAN STATE
165Jaguars (LAR)ILB David Woodward, Utah State
166Lions (PHI)ILB Evan Weaver, California
167BillsCB JOSIAH SCOTT, MICHIGAN STATE
168Eagles (NE)OLB KHALEKE HUDSON, MICHIGAN
169SaintsG Justin Herron, Wake Forest
170Ravens (MIN)G Danny Pinter, Ball State
171TexansRB Darrynton Evans, Appalachian State
172Patriots (DET)(SEA)S J.R. Reed, Georgia
173Dolphins (LAR)(BAL)CB Harrison Hand, Temple
174TitansTE Thaddeus Moss, LSU
175Broncos (GB)S GENO STONE, IOWA
17649ersS ANTOINE BROOKS JR., MARYLAND
177ChiefsOLB Justin Strnad, Wake Forest
178BroncosT Calvin Throckmorton, Oregon
179CowboysOLB CAM BROWN, PENN STATE

TRADES:
Raiders trade Pick #159 to Chargers for 6th Round (#186) and 7th Round (#220)
Packers trade Pick #175 to Broncos for 6th Round (#181) and 7th Round (#254)

MrNubbz

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #320 on: April 22, 2020, 01:02:05 PM »
see wonderlic scores
Different animal picking apart NFL defenses,of course could have been a bad score.Factoring in health concerns though he's not 1st rd material IMO
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bayareabadger

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Re: 2020 NFL Draft/Offseason thread
« Reply #321 on: April 22, 2020, 01:20:03 PM »
I hear you on the advanced metrics, I love stats, and they're genuinely a better way to rate things.  BUT, it doesn't change the scoreboard in your favor, either. 
I mean, PPG is a context-heavy stat at times, certianly when the offense commits a turnover 20 percent of the time.

In a few more "tempo-free" stats, Tampa ranked:
6th in yards per play
A so-so 17th in point per drive
Sixth in average drive distance
Tied for sixth in red zone TD percentage allowed
First in opponents drives overall

So at the very least, that PPG is impacted a good bit. Who knows if that stays the case, but one can reasonably say Tommy inherits what very reasonably could be a good defense on the other side.

 

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