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Topic: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown

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Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #70 on: March 03, 2020, 06:03:05 AM »
I kind of chuckle a bit thinking about the names Chevrolet and Cadillac being considered "American".  The wife used to pronounce it "Caddy-Ack" when we had one.

I liked that car quite a bit, the ride was surprisingly firm and it was really too big for driving much in city traffic.

FearlessF

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #71 on: March 03, 2020, 10:58:22 AM »
Dude, that wasn't a big car
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #72 on: March 03, 2020, 11:40:46 AM »
At least it stayed on the road...unlike this thread

ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #73 on: March 03, 2020, 12:18:40 PM »

#110 Troy Trojans
#8 in Sun Belt
After building Troy (then Troy State) up from a 1-AA team to winning five consecutive Sun Belt Conference titles from 2006-2010, Larry Blakeley let the program backslide immediately into five consecutive bowl-less seasons from 2011-2015.  Neal Brown got things turned around in short order winning 10 games by his second season, and winning a conference title in his third, going 31-8 overall, 20-4 in the Sun Belt over his final three years.  But it also looks like he knew when to get out.  Expectations were high last year for a Trojan team that returned several starters from teams that won at LSU in 2017 and at Nebraska in 2018.  The only obstacle appeared to be being in the same division as Appalachian State.  Not even close.  Troy went 5-7, beating an FCS team, and three teams that we’ve already covered here.  Far from beating a Power Five team for the third consecutive year, they got blown out 42-10 by Missouri, in a game that wasn’t even that close.  The Tigers led 42-3 at halftime, and shut it down.  While in 2018, Troy missed out on a conference title game birth, and a rematch against a Louisiana team they had already beaten, by a tiebreaker; in 2019, they closed the season by losing to the two Sun Belt Championship Game contenders by a combined score of 101-16, scoring one touchdown.  A lot of the hope was based on a returning senior starter quarterback in Caleb Barker.  And he didn’t disappoint, being named 1st team all-conference, and leading the conference in passing.  So it’s tough to imagine getting much better.  Gunnar Watson is the only returnee with experience, but the competition will be deep.  You have incoming freshman Kyle Toole; Gavin Screws, who redshirted last year; and three transfers, Jacob Cendoya from Ole Miss, Jacob Free from Vanderbilt and Parker McNeil from the JUCO ranks.  If Chip Lindsey is able to mine the transfers ranks for quarterback as well as he did receiver though, this will be a quick turnaround.  The Trojans had three JUCO transfer receivers be named all-conference, led by Sun Belt newcomer of the year Kaylon Geiger.  Assuming the quarterback situation gets at least somewhat figured out, there is no reason to think we’ll see a dip from Troy’s 57.3% passing rate a year ago, most in the Sun Belt.  The Trojans return less production than almost anyone in the FBS, but what proven talent they have, is at wideout.  The defense has a few more familiar faces, but the secondary is an absolute mess.  Troy allowed 276.3 ypg through the air, worst in the Sun Belt, on 8.4 ypa and 66.5% completion percentage, both second worst.  Some of the other metrics that could contribute actually look ok there.  Troy was third in the Sun Belt in both sacks and interceptions, but you simply can’t let quarterbacks complete 2/3 of their passes, sixth worst mark in the FBS.


KEY PLAYERS
WRKaylon Geiger, Senior
WRReggie Todd, Senior
TAustin Stidham, Senior
.
DTWill Choloh, Junior
LBCarlton Martial, Junior
SDell Pettus, Sophomore


medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #74 on: March 03, 2020, 04:57:19 PM »
Auburn automobiles were made in Auburn, IN.
There is an Auburn/Cord/Duesenberg Museum there today.  I have never been there but I would like to visit someday.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #75 on: March 03, 2020, 05:00:02 PM »
It's where old people go to die.

It also has a lot of top football recruits, but given that it is the third most populous state in the US, sheer population explains it.
Florida is definitely an unusual case.  Generally states with stable or declining populations are older while states with rapidly growing populations are younger.  Florida is unusual in that they are growing rapidly and yet they are older due to the vast number of retirees.  

ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #76 on: March 04, 2020, 09:30:22 AM »

#109 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
#8 in Conference USA
A big step backwards after losing the best quarterback in school history, in Brent Stockstill was to be expected, but the Blue Raider offense actually held it together fine, with a Conference USA best 6.36 ypp.  They changed up the way they played a bit, shifting from the #34 most pass happy team in 2018, down to #56 in 2019.  That was fueled by Conference USA’s top rated run offense, which piled up 5.1 ypc.  They also slowed way down, dropping from 73.5 plays per game, down to just 66.3, which was a drop from #53 to #114.  And they relied on the conference’s best pair of tackles to help keep their quarterback upright, and their sack rate dropped from 7.57% (#88 in FBS) to 5.34% (#45).  So while the Middle Tennessee offense stayed just about equally productive, it looked entirely different, as a more risk averse, offensive line dependent unit, that relied upon a quarterback who was a rushing threat, as opposed to a cannon arm.  Because of that, a team that returned as little production as anyone last year, managed to go a respectable 3-5 in conference play.  Yes, they went 1-3 out of conference, but maybe don’t schedule Michigan, Iowa and Duke, all in September.  Quarterback Asher O’Hara might want to run slightly less this year.  He led the team in both rushing attempts (199) and rushing yards (1,058), with no other player tallying more than 52 and 290.  Chaton Mobley got the most carries of any running back, with 52, but was largely ineffective.  Terelle West was the more effective, but was a situational back, and has graduated.  Fortunately help has arrived in the form of a pair of Power Five transfers, being Martell Pettaway from West Virginia and Amir Rasul from Florida State.  Amir Rasul had the higher recruiting profile, but barely saw the field in Tallahassee.  Pettaway seemed primed for a breakout 2019, after tallying 623 yards and 6 touchdowns on 6.4 ypc in Morgantown in 2018.  But his 2019 got off to a bad start for a Mountaineer team that had the worst run game in the Power Five.  Either way, they should provide some much needed help for O’Hara.  As fun as O’Hara was to watch, he needed to be, because the defense wasn’t stopping anyone.  The pass defense was particularly bad, allowing 7.7 ypa, second worst in the conference, on a conference high 65.3% completion rate.  But the problem was not necessarily solely on the secondary, because the pass rush generated absolutely nothing, a league worst 11 sacks, with a 2.81% sack rate, second worst in the FBS.  The news on returning talent is both good and bad.  The Blue Raiders graduated six seniors from that group, 49% of their production, but how much production was even there?  The result will likely be a team that ranked 42 spots higher in offensive SP+ than defensive a year ago, will likely see that spread grow.


KEY PLAYERS
QBAsher O'Hara, Junior
TWill Gilchrist, Senior
TRobert Jones, Senior
.
LBD.Q. Thomas, Senior
SReed Blankenship, Senior
SKylan Stribling, Senior


ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #77 on: March 05, 2020, 10:07:29 PM »

#108 Fresno State Bulldogs
#9 in Mountain West
The job Jeff Tedford did in fixing the program after Tim DeRuyter drove it straight into a ditch, was nothing short of remarkable.  He inherited a 1-11 team, and had 10 wins in his first season, with a 12-2 team in his second, that won a conference title, and finished ranked #18 in the polls, their highest final ranking in school history, and their first appearance in the final pools since 2004.  But just as remarkable is how quickly it all fell apart.  The Bulldogs were picked to win their third consecutive division title, getting more first place votes than any school in either division.  It started out acceptable, with an 8 point loss at USC, and then took a very good Minnesota team to double overtime before losing.  They then beat Sacramento State and New Mexico State, but in conference play they lost 6 of 8 finished with their 5th loss in the last 8 games against rival San Jose State, after losing only once in the previous two decades.  Jeff Tedford then abruptly retired due to health reasons, and Fresno State did not hesitate to bring back Kalen DeBoer, who had served as offensive coordinator under Tedford for those great 2017 and 2018 teams, before leaving to take the same role at Indiana.  While it’s a very different level, he does have head coaching experience, spending five years at his alma mater, Sioux Falls, going 67-3, and winning 3 NAIA championships.  The Bulldogs might not be quite as far off as their record would suggest.  They were 1-7 in games decided by 10 points or less.  And their one big loss, by 19 to Air Force, happened after the Falcons scored the final 21 points, to erase a Fresno State second half lead.  The offense did not fall off by much after DeBoer left, with Jorge Reyna able to slide into the quarterback slot fairly seamlessly.  Can Fresno State pull that off again?  There are no obvious answers already on the roster, so I would think going into spring that Washington transfer Jake Haener, who sat out 2019, is the frontrunner.  I think what makes a ton of sense is grad transfer Peyton Ramsey, who played for DeBoer last year at Indiana, knows his system, and finished 4th in the Big Ten last year in Total QBR.  Fresno State has a horse in the backfield with Ronnie Rivers, who averaged 14.75 carries per game last year, 4th highest in the Mountain West, and led the conference in touchdowns.  The defense is what needs to get sorted out.  The 2018 defense finished ranked #12 in S&P+, the highest mark by a Group of 5 team since the 2010 Boise State group.  That plummeted to #98 last year, relying primarily on forcing turnovers at a rate of nearly 2 per game, to maintain a semi-respectable scoring defense mark.  They were in the bottom third of the conference in sack rate, and that’s an obvious place to point to likely improvement with a steady group of linebackers, led by Justin Rice.  Aside from Kevin Atkins in the middle, both the line and secondary look to be continuingly problematic.  Seeing DeBoer flip things back, simply by working the quarterback transfer portal and flipping their record in close games, neither of which seems outlandish, has the chance to make this look really bad though.


KEY PLAYERS
RBRonnie Rivers, Senior
WRZane Pope, Junior
TDontae Bull, Junior
.
DTKevin Atkins, Senior
LBJustin Rice, Senior
SWylan Free, Junior


Brutus Buckeye

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #78 on: March 06, 2020, 12:06:30 AM »
The Mountain West is down to 8 teams, while the Mac, Sunbelt and CUSA are each down to 7.

All but two independents are already on the board.
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

MrNubbz

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #79 on: March 06, 2020, 09:24:40 AM »
At least it stayed on the road...unlike this thread
High Jackers - I blame Fearless
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ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #80 on: March 06, 2020, 03:44:39 PM »

#107 UL Monroe Warhawks
#7 in Sun Belt
Matt Viator is probably at the point of bowl or bust.  It’s not as though UL Monroe has the richest history.  They went to the Independence Bowl in 2012, in their lone bowl appearance.  But even given that, in today’s era, who keeps their job after five bowl less season?  The best news Viator got was that tight end Josh Pederson, his best offensive player, reconsidered and took his name back out of the transfer portal, after being heavily pursued by Florida State.  The Warhawks had one of the most potent offenses in the FBS last year, tallying 460.9 yards per game on 6.4 ypp, both second best in the Sun Belt.  They did so with a balanced attack, one of only five schools in the nation, along with Ohio State, Oklahoma, Clemson and Central Florida, to average at least 250 passing yards and 200 rushing yards a game.  The problem was that offense only generated 31.6 ppg, due to a lousy kicking game and a 40% third down conversion rate.  Repeating anything close to last year’s performance depends on the Joshes.  Josh Pederson, as mentioned earlier, and tailback Josh Johnson, who finished second in the conference in both rushing yards per game (108.2) and per carry (6.5).  Aside from that, it’s a lot of questions, starting with replacing Caleb Evans, the best quarterback in school history.  The only returning quarterback on the roster is sophomore Colby Suits, who was 6 for 19 with 2 interceptions in 4 games last year.  For that reason, Viator filled his 2020 class with additional options, bringing in three quarterbacks.  The two true freshmen, both of whom are from Monroe, Louisiana, and neither of which had any other FBS offers, seem unlikely to contribute.  JUCO transfer Jeremy Hunt, ranked as one of the top 15 JUCO quarterback transfers, should be a factor though.  Hunt was someone to keep an eye on as a sophomore recruit out of Oak Park, Illinois, drawing interest from schools like Michigan and Ohio State.  But an ankle injury in October of his junior season, which cost him the rest of the season, and the all-important junior summer camp tour, sort of derailed his recruitment.  After a couple years at Trinity Valley Community College, he’s finally reached the FBS.  He doesn’t have the running ability he possessed as a 15 year old, but the upside is too much to ignore.  The graduation of Markis McCray means Jonathan Hodoh has a chance to explode on his 2019 finish.  The rising senior had his four biggest games in the final 5 weeks of the season, with three 6 catch performances, and a 5 reception game.  The defense has to get a lot better for this to mean anything.  A year ago the Warhawks lost games where they scored 44 points, 33 points, 41 points, 29 points and 30 points.  Teams got up early, and then just ran the ball over and over, 44.1 times per game.  And why wouldn’t you, when Monroe surrendered 5.7 ypc, and the secondary, all things considered, was pretty solid.  They should be even better this year, with Kansas State transfer Logan Wilson joining all-Sun Belt senior Corey Straughter, who led the conference in interceptions and passes defended, to form what should be a very good cornerback pairing.


KEY PLAYERS
RBJosh Johnson, Senior
WRJonathan Hodoh, Senior
TEJosh Pederson, Senior
.
DEKerry Starks, Senior
CBCorey Straughter, Senior
STyler Glass, Senior


Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #81 on: March 07, 2020, 08:06:22 AM »
Have we seen a P5 team yet?


Brutus Buckeye

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #82 on: March 07, 2020, 08:42:55 AM »
Ha! Closest is a former P5 team. And it was Rice.

Still trudging through mostly FCS call ups at this point.
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

FearlessF

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #83 on: March 07, 2020, 08:46:15 AM »
fresno  st used to be better
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

 

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