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Topic: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown

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MrNubbz

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #126 on: March 19, 2020, 05:19:11 PM »
#93 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
#5 in Sun Belt
With a name like that they're lucky they're not below UTEP
Don't go to bed with any woman crazier than you. - Frank Zappa

ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #127 on: March 19, 2020, 05:35:45 PM »
It sounds like a 19th century insult

CWSooner

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #128 on: March 19, 2020, 06:43:08 PM »
#92 Arkansas Razorbacks
#13 in SEC
. . . They did add a pair of former 4* grad transfers in lineman Xavier Kelly from Clemson, and linebacker Levi Draper from Oklahoma.  But the defense is a LONG ways away. . . .
Levi Draper has a ton of potential.  And he'll probably still have a ton of potential 3 years from now.
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CatsbyAZ

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #129 on: March 19, 2020, 08:46:21 PM »
#92 Arkansas Razorbacks
#13 in SEC
KEY PLAYERS
QBFeleipe Franks, Senior
RBRakeem Boyd, Senior
WRMike Woods, Junior
.
LBBumper Pool, Junior
CBMontaric Brown, Junior
SJoe Foucha, Junior




What a name


Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #130 on: March 20, 2020, 08:13:20 AM »
It amazes me how far Arky has fallen in the scheme of things.  I'm sure it is triply difficult to recover from that far down, it's not like a temporary blip.

They typically don't schedule that tough OOC, one P5 opponent (sometimes not even).  But they would still need to grab 2 conference games somehow to get bowl eligible of course if they went 4-0 OOC.  UNC is back to a semblance, so perhaps Arky can do it with the right coach.

fezzador

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #131 on: March 20, 2020, 08:29:37 AM »
It might be a while before Arky goes back to respectability.  IIRC, they're now officially paying 3 coaches (2 of whom specifically not to come anywhere near the sidelines), so their current coach they basically got on the cheap simply to buy some time before they can pony up and get a proven coach.

Arkansas is always going to fight an uphill battle in the SEC-W.  The state of AR is not exactly talent-rich, so the bulk of its recruiting must be from out-of-state.  Even though Texas and Louisiana have talent to spare, Arky rarely is in the running for the best-of-the-best in those states as many of them prefer to stay within the confines of their home state (or bolt for a genuine blue-blood, like Oklahoma).

They need an innovative coach to be competitive, one who thinks outside the box to win despite multiple inherent disadvantages.  Mike Leach could have done well in Fayetteville, but that's too late as he just landed in StarkVegas.  Maybe in a couple of years they might take a chance on Art Briles.

Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #132 on: March 20, 2020, 09:25:34 AM »
I agree they probably need a quirky offense along the lines of what GaTech had, or something, to get to bowl eligible, where they can start to attract some decent players.  I doubt they compete with Bama and LSU in a long long time.


ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #133 on: March 20, 2020, 10:31:24 AM »

#91 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
#14 in ACC
The problem with adopting a system like Georgia Tech did in hiring Paul Johnson, is not just the amount of time it takes to convert to the system, but the amount of time it takes to transition out of it.  You’ve got a run-first quarterback depth chart, out of whack running back/receiver roster splits, and a bunch of smaller linemen who are taught to cut block.  Maybe the fact that Paul Johnson got things humming so quickly on the front end, it misled Jacket fans as to just how tough the rebuild would be on the back end.  Johnson finished 9-4, ranked #22, with a Peach Bowl trip in his first season; and then won a conference title in his second.  It was just the third conference title for the school since 1952, when they were in the SEC.  It certainly seems like Georgia Tech fans do have realistic expectations (or maybe they just don’t care), because reading the media members who cover them, there is still a ton of positivity surrounding the program.  That’s good because expecting Geoff Collins to have similar Year 2 results seems well beyond a reach, after a 3-9 debut, that opened with a 52-14 loss to Clemson, and closed with a 52-7 loss to Georgia.  He’s certainly selling positivity on the recruiting trail, bringing in a first full class that ranked #26 overall and #5 in the ACC, best of the school since their 2007 class which ranked #15 and #3, and helped form the nucleus of their 2009 ACC Championship team, with guys like Josh Nesbitt, Jonathan Dwyer, Morgan Burnett, and Derrick Morgan.  Just getting to a bowl this year would be a major win, and getting there starts on defense.  The Yellow Jackets were respectable on that side of the ball a year ago, with one of the youngest units in the nation.  They return 10 starters, and only Rice returns more defensive production from a year ago than Georgia Tech.  Bill Connelly projects it to be a top 35 defense in 2020, led by cornerback Tre Swilling, son of Rambling Wreck legend Pat Swilling, who played at the school in the 80s, before a stellar NFL career.  The best part might be that the Yellow Jackets don’t have to worry about wasting this defense in a year where the offense will be a mess, because 7 of those 10 returning starters, will still have eligibility in 2021.  And, oh boy, the offense looks like it will still be a mess.  Collins finally just decided to ride with redshirt freshman James Graham, and that ride was wild.  Graham had nine starts, and exactly one of them resulted in a QBR between 35 and 70.  He had two starts above 70, going 22-37 for 358 yards (9.68 ypa), 5 touchdowns, 1 interception; and another 154 rushing yards (77 ypg) and 2 rushing touchdowns.  The other six starts?  51-130 for 617 yards (4.75 ypa), 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and just 96 rushing yards (16 ypg).  Maybe they’ll just run the ball every play, now that they can pair returning Jordan Mason, who had 899 rushing yards on 5.2 ypa, with no help, with incoming true freshman Jahmyr Gibbs, the #75 overall recruit and #8 running back recruit in the country.  He’s the Yellow Jackets’ highest rated offensive recruit since Calvin Johnson.  No pressure.


KEY PLAYERS
QBJames Graham, Sophomore
RBJordan Mason, Junior
GJack DeFoor, Senior
.
LBDavid Curry, Senior
CBTre Swilling, Junior
CBKaleb Oliver, Junior


Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #134 on: March 20, 2020, 11:17:39 AM »
I don't see how GT can surpass mediocre by being traditional.  The ACC is the last conference represented here.


ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #135 on: March 22, 2020, 10:59:07 AM »
Forgot to post yesterday


#90 Western Michigan Broncos
#5 in MAC
Western Michigan had to have felt like they wasted a chance in 2019, by losing the season finale at a 4-7 Northern Illinois team, whose star running back quit the team the week of the game, and costing the Broncos a slot in the conference championship game.  With a senior all-conference starting quarterback/running back combo departing, 2020 seemed like a reboot season...and then they looked around at the rest of their division.  Granted, yes, Toledo and Northern Illinois typically recruit well enough that you might expect them to be better than a typical MAC team coming off the seasons they are, with the returning production they have.  But honestly, the only team in the MAC West that has fewer questions on paper, is a Ball State team that hasn’t been to a bowl game in years.  Bill Connelly projects the entire division to finish between 5-3 and 3-5, so the margin for error is slim, that’s why figuring out that offensive backfield early is vital.  That’s a big if.  All they have to replace is quarterback Jon Wassink, a three year starter, and Wuerffel Award winner; and running back LeVante Bellamy, a two-time First Team All-MAC honoree, who finished second in the conference in rushing last year, and leaves Kalamazoo as the only player to be top three in both total rushing yards, and yards per carry.  The running game should continue to be fine with Sean Tyler, who actually averaged more ypc (5.7) than Bellamy (5.5) last year, while finishing second on the team with 390 rushing yards.  Then they add a pair of transfers in LaDarius Jefferson who was the starter at Michigan State for a time, and Jaxson Kincaide, who was Nevada’s second leading rusher in 2016 and 2017.  They get to run behind a veteran offensive line that returns four starters, including a pair of All-Conference performers.  The quarterback spot is a lot more dicey, with Kaleb Eleby being the most likely initial starter.  Eleby played in five games in 2018, including four starters, when Wassink was injured, and actually filled in fairly well, completing 62.6% of his passes and 218.4 ypg.  But he redshirted last year, so it will have been nearly two years since he’s seen any sort of game action at all.  Really the only competition he has is from Purdue transfer Griffin Alstott, son of Mike Alstott, who saw a little mop up duty last year.  If Skyy Moore can build upon his surprise breakout freshman season, that allows Tim Lester to fully commit to D’Wayne Eskridge playing defense.  Eskridge is a two way player, who is probably the Broncos’ best athlete, but is seemingly slightly better on the defensive side.  With All-MAC Patrick Lupro opposite him at corner, the addition of Eskridge on defense gives Western Michigan a chance to have the best defense in the league.  They were second in scoring defense and fifth in ypp last year.  But their pass defense allowed a MAC worst 67% completion rate (5th worst nationally), and relied too heavily on the MAC’s second highest interception rate.  If they can run Lupro-Eskridge full time, there is zero excuse for a repeat of that.


KEY PLAYERS
WRSkyy Moore, Sophomore
TJaylon Moore, Senior
GMike Caliendo, Senior
.
DEAli Fayed, Senior
LBTreshaun Hayward, Senior
CBPatrick Lupro, Junior



#89 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
#7 in Mountain West
Whoever first said football is won in the trenches, probably didn’t look at the best Hawaii teams of recent vintage in making that proclamation.  But for the Rainbow Warriors this year, they better hope that’s the case.  Losing three of their best four receivers to graduation was planned for, but then to have quarterback Cole McDonald announce he was leaving early was not expected.  Todd McShay has McDonald rated as the #174 overall prospect, the #10 quarterback, a projected borderline 5th/6th round pick.  But maybe he looked at who he’d be throwing to, and decided there was no way his stock was going to be higher next year.  Or maybe once head coach Nick Rolovich left he looked at basically what every Hawaii coach except June Jones and Rolovich had done at the school, and decided the odds were not in his favor.  It’s now or never for uber talented, but thus far disappointing Marquise Stovall.  Stovall committed to Cal over USC and Oregon, with some rankings having him as the #1 receiver in the country, and looked the part of a lethal slot threat.  He had an underwhelming freshman campaign in Berkeley, then played one game his sophomore season, before being inexplicably shut down, for suspension...injury…?  He then left Cal, spent a year at JUCO, then re-emerged last year at Hawaii.  Through five games he had 18 receptions for 248 yards and 4 touchdowns...before being kicked off the team.  But he is now listed on the spring roster, and his social media accounts seem to indicate he’s on the team.  The kid is running out of chances, but in the partial season he played last year he showed that he can still be a threat, even though he’s only played in six NCAA games over the past three seasons.  If he’s not lacing them up, Hawaii has Jared Smart, and not much else?  The next leading returning receiver is Lincoln Victor, with 10 receptions.  Calvin Turner Jr., a PFF FCS All-American transfer from Jacksonville is an intriguing option.  He spent parts of his three years at Jacksonville as a defensive back, the starting quarterback, and a running back.  However it seems like Hawaii might be looking at him as a receiver.  No matter what, he should be a needed infusion of athleticism.  So back to those trenches.  Hawaii returns their entire starting line, including three All-Mountain West players, being both tackles and the center, from a line that was very solid run blocking, and top 25 nationally in pass blocking.  What type of offense Hawaii will run, who knows?  They’ve been known as a pass happy team, 4th in the nation last year, passing the ball 61.5% of the time.  New coach Todd Graham has been all over the place in that regard, but his offensive coordinator choice, his former player G.J. Kinne.  Who knows.  Kinne is only 31 years old, and let alone having no coordinating experience, he has no real assistant coaching experience.  Just retired from the CFL in 2016, after a 4 year run as an NFL practice squad player, and spent his three years in coaching as a graduate assistant (2017 at SMU under Chad Morris), an offensive analyst (2018 at Arkansas under Chad Morris), and “special projects,” whatever that means (2019 with the Philadelphia Eagles).  Maybe he’s just there to run Todd Graham’s offense, but that hasn’t really ever been Graham’s M.O.  Quite the opposite in fact.  Graham’s last four offensive coordinators, going back to 2010; Billy Napier, Chip Lindsey, Mike Norvell, Chad Morris, have used the role as a stepping stone to their own head coaching job.


KEY PLAYERS
TIlm Manning, Junior
TGene Pryor, Senior
CTaaga Tuulima, Senior
.
DTBlessman Ta'ala, Junior
CBCortez Davis, Senior
SKhoury Bethley, Junior


ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #136 on: March 23, 2020, 12:31:43 PM »
Sunday


#88 Maryland Terrapins
#13 in Big Ten
This might be one of the hardest teams to get a read on going into 2019.  The early returns, at least internally, on bringing Mike Locksley back seemed solid.  He was recruiting well, and then Maryland got into the top 20 fueled by a high powered offense through two games.  They went on to lose 9 of their final 10 games, beating only lowly Rutgers; and in those 9 losses they scored a TOTAL of 113 points (12.6 ppg), only scoring more than 17 once.  They scored 142 points in just their first two games.  Then the Terps saw 20 players enter the transfer portal.  They do get quarterback Josh Jackson back, who started 9 games last year, but after a lightning start, he was awful as well over the final three quarters of the season.  In those opening two games, he completed 58% of his passes at 8.7 ypa, and 7 touchdowns to go with 1 interception.  Over the rest of the season, he completed just 42.8%, at 5.05 ypa, with 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.  His highest QBR in any single game, other than Rutgers, over the final 10 games was against Michigan State, at 24.4.  Just for comparison purposes, only two qualified FBS quarterbacks had season marks lower than Jackson’s best game.  He does have a really good pair of receivers to work with, as Jeshaun Jones returns from his season long injury to pair with All-Big Ten Dontay Demus Jr., and they add Rakim Jarrett, a late flip, who was rated as the #4 receiver in the nation.  But if Jackson doesn’t get a whole lot more accurate, that won’t matter.  The Terps have also had a parade of talented running backs come through campus lately, but with both Javon Leake and Anthony McFarland Jr. moving onto the NFL, that spot is wide open.  Senior Tayon Fleet-Davis is the most experienced, and they add Michigan transfer Jordan Castleberry, but it might be a freshman who emerges there.  Barring some sort of injury, I think either 4* Peny Boone from Michigan or Isaiah Jacobs from Oklahoma is getting the most carries come Halloween.  Time will also tell if the youth movement on the offensive line, which struggled (in connection with the quarterbacks’ propensity to hold the ball too long) to pass block.  Most promising is Jaelyn Duncan who took over the starting left tackle position in Week 2 as a freshman, and never relinquished it.  I’m guessing the list of Power Five schools who started a freshman at left tackle, for non injury reasons, for 11 games is pretty short.  Even with the loss of Antoine Brooks Jr., Maryland seems fairly well positioned in the back seven, led by another sophomore, although this one a true sophomore, safety Nick Cross.  Staying healthy in the back is the major pressing concern with seven of the twenty transfers coming from the secondary.  While the Terrapin pass defense was second worst in the Big Ten to Rutgers in almost every metric, the bigger issue was a pass rush that was non-existent.  Keandre Jones was the only player to tally more than 2 sacks on the season; and the issue does not look to be resolved, with the three players from the defense who had more than one (Brett Kulka had 2, Keiron Howard had 1.5), all departing.


KEY PLAYERS
QBJosh Jackson, Senior
WRDontay Demus Jr., Junior
TJaelyn Duncan, Sophomore
.
LBAyinde Eley, Junior
LBChance Campbell, Junior
SNick Cross, Sophomore


FearlessF

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #137 on: March 23, 2020, 12:41:23 PM »
another one bites the dust
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #138 on: March 23, 2020, 12:50:50 PM »
It would be fun post season to list the three teams that exceeded expectations and why, and the reverse of this.  UMd and Rutger somewhat mirror Vandy and Arkansas, but I think the former two could improve faster than Vandy.

ELA

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Re: 2020 ELA 130 Team Countdown
« Reply #139 on: March 23, 2020, 02:47:23 PM »

#87 Kent State Golden Flashes
#4 in MAC
Getting a third season out of Sean Lewis is already a win for the program.  A Year Four, considering the trajectory of the program, seems increasingly unlikely.  The Golden Flashes closed the year on a 4 game winning streak, which included a 51-41 win over Utah State in the Frisco Bowl, the program’s first bowl game in seven years, and their first ever bowl win.  Maybe the plan of the administration is to schedule Lewis into an artificially bad season.  Instead of trying to schedule their way into a bowl, Kent State has road games at Kentucky, at Penn State and at Alabama, all in September.  Guess they can use all those paydays on Lewis’ raise?  The issue, aside from basically ensuring in the preseason that you have to go 6-3 otherwise to make a bowl, is that stringing those opponents so close together, is the chance of entering conference play with a lengthy injury report.  Auburn transfer quarterback Woody Barrett was supposed to be the guy to elevate Lewis’ offense to the next level.  Instead he found himself as the backup to Dustin Crum.  While that raised some eyebrows, particularly considering the offseason headlines of Barrett making a September return to Jordan Hare, but as a visitor, Crum proved his coach correct, leading the MAC in completion percentage, passing efficiency, and TD:INT ratio.  He also led the team in rushing, even accounting for lost yards on sacks.  Even more than his passing ability, it was his efforts in carrying the run game that was probably even more needed, because Kent State rotated through four backs, none of whom really separated themselves.  The most disappointing had to have been senior Jo-El Shaw, who went from All-MAC to fourth on the team in rushing.  The most effective was true freshman Joachim Bangda, who ran for 7.0 ypc on Baltimore high school powerhouse St. Frances Academy, but somehow found his way to Kent State.  His 247 page lists offers from schools such as Alabama, Ohio State and Wisconsin; so maybe we’ve got some academic issues at play.  However he got to Kent State, he’s there now, and there’s no excuse for him to get only 45 carries again this year, when he’s averaging 6.2 ypc.  All this kid does is produce.  Sean Lewis is a Dino Babers disciple, serving as his offensive coordinator at both Bowling Green, and then Syracuse, from 2015-2017, so we know defense is going to be an afterthought, and based on tempo, 51-41 finals don’t mean what they mean everywhere.  But they’ve got to be a little better than allowing 6.3 ypp, which is actually a negative difference compared to their offense.  If they can at least get that number down under 6 ypp, this team could actually be in the conversation to get to Detroit.  Hell, if they were in the West, they’d already be there.  The cornerbacks should be a lot better, with Keith Sherald Jr., who led the team in interceptions a year ago, being joined by Nebraska grad transfer Tony Butler.  The Golden Flashes surrendered 8.5 ypa last year, second worst in the MAC, despite having one of the better pass rushes.  That four game winning streak to end the season, could have been six out of seven, with a divisional title, if they can just not lose games 38-45 and 33-35.


KEY PLAYERS
QBDustin Crum, Senior
WRIsaiah McKoy, Junior
KMatthew Trickett, Junior
.
LBMandela Lawrence-Burke, Senior
LBCepeda Phillips, Senior
CBKeith Sherald Jr., Senior


 

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