Assuming that the group is ok with the changes I proposed above, the new tiers are:
- UMD, MSU
- IL, PSU, UW, IA, PU
- IU, RU, MN, tOSU, M
- blank
- UNL, NU
And the new projected final standings/BTT seeds are:
- 15-5 Maryland
- 14-6 Michigan State
- 14-6 Illinois
- 12-8 Wisconsin
- 12-8 Penn State
- 11-9 Iowa
- 10-10 Rutgers
- 10-10 Purdue
- 10-10 Indiana
- 10-10 Minnesota
- 9-11 Ohio State
- 9-11 Michigan
- 3-17 Nebraska
- 1-19 Northwestern
Tiebreakers:
The two-way tie between MSU and IL for 2nd/3rd at 14-6:
- First tiebreaker is H2H. They play each other twice. MSU already won their home game and IL is expected to win theirs.
- The second tiebreaker is record against the best team in the league. They both play UMD twice and both are expected to go 1-1.
- The next tiebreaker is record against the 12-8 teams. Illinois does not host either PSU or UW so they are projected to go 0-2 while MSU is projected to go 2-2, thus MSU wins the tie.
The two-way tie between PSU and UW for 4th/5th at 12-8:
- First tiebreaker is H2H. They only play once, in State College and UW won.
The four-way tie between PU, IU, RU, and MN for 7th/8th/9th/10th at 10-10:
- First tiebreaker is H2H2H2H: Rutgers is projected to go 3-1 (no games in Bloomington or Minneapolis). Purdue is expected to go 3-2 (no game in Minneapolis). Indiana is projected to go 2-3 (do not host Rutgers). Minnesota is projected to go 1-3 (do not host PU or RU).
The two-way tie between tOSU and M for 11th/12th at 9-11:
- First tiebreaker is H2H. They play twice and are each expected to win the home game.
- Second tiebreaker is record against the best team in the league. Both are expected to go 0-season against Maryland.
- Third tiebreaker is record against the 14-6 teams. Ohio State is projected to go 1-1 while Michigan (with their upset home loss to Illinois is projected to go 0-4.
The projected match-ups at the B1G Tournament in Indianapolis are:
Wednesday, March 11, 2020:
- #11 Ohio State vs #14 Northwestern, 9:30pm, BTN
- #12 Michigan vs #13 Nebraska, 6pm, BTN
Thursday, March 12, 2020:
- #5 Penn State vs M/UNL, 2:30pm, BTN
- #6 Iowa vs tOSU/NU, 9pm, BTN
- #7 Rutgers vs #10 Minnesota, 6:30pm, BTN
- #8 Purdue vs #9 Indiana, noon, BTN
Friday, March 13, 2020:
- #1 Maryland vs PU/IU, noon, BTN
- #2 Michigan State vs RU/MN, 6:30pm, BTN
- #3 Illinois vs IA/tOSU/NU, 9pm, BTN
- #4 Wisconsin vs PSU/M/UNL, 2:30pm, BTN
Saturday, March 14, 2020:
- UMD/PU/IU vs UW/PSU/M/UNL, 1pm, CBS
- MSU/RU/MN vs IL/IA/tOSU/NU, 3:30pm, CBS
Sunday, March 15, 2020:
- UMD/PU/IU/UW/PSU/M/UNL vs MSU/RU/MN/IL/IA/tOSU/NU, 3:30pm, CBS