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Topic: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread

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ELA

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #868 on: January 07, 2020, 09:59:44 AM »
Meaningless at this stage, but Lunardi has Rutgers playing in the First Four in Dayton in his new Bracketology.

ELA

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #869 on: January 07, 2020, 10:08:37 AM »
Seth Towns, who was HM AP All-American and Ivy League POTY as a sophomore in 2018, before missing all of last year and this with injuries, has entered the transfer portal, with Ohio State as the presumptive landing spot.

MaximumSam

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #870 on: January 07, 2020, 10:39:24 AM »
Seth Towns, who was HM AP All-American and Ivy League POTY as a sophomore in 2018, before missing all of last year and this with injuries, has entered the transfer portal, with Ohio State as the presumptive landing spot.
Interesting - I didn't know he went to Northland.  OSU getting tight on numbers - they already have 12 guys coming back next year, plus 2 freshmen.  I would assume Kaleb Wesson is looking to turn pro after this season. So that's still 13 unless someone else leaves. DJ Carton could conceivably leave early if he looks good down the stretch.  Justin Ahrens has struggled to find minutes.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #871 on: January 07, 2020, 11:10:57 AM »
Meaningless at this stage, but Lunardi has Rutgers playing in the First Four in Dayton in his new Bracketology.
He now has 10 B1G teams in plus Illinois among the "Next Four Out".  

Here they all are by seed:
  • n/a
  • MSU
  • tOSU, UMD
  • M
  • PSU
  • n/a
  • IA
  • UW
  • n/a
  • IU, PU
  • n/a
  • RU (play in)
Percent chances by round based on past tournaments since the expansion to 64 teams:
Chance to win the Round of 64 game:
  • #2 MSU:  94.29%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  85% each
  • #4 M:  79.29%
  • #5 PSU:  64.29%
  • #7 IA:  60.71%
  • #8 UW:  48.57%
  • #10 IU, PU:  39.29% each
  • #12 RU:  50% to win play in, 17.86% (1/2 of a 12 seed's chance)
  • Cumulative:  Should result in 6.14 teams advancing to the round of 32
Chance to win Round of 32 game:
  • #2 MSU:  63.57%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  52.86% each
  • #4 M:  47.14%
  • #5 PSU:  33.57%
  • #7 IA:  19.29%
  • #8 UW:  9.29%
  • #10 IU, PU:  16.43% each
  • #12 RU:  7.50%
  • Cumulative:  Should result in 3.19 teams in the Sweet Sixteen
Chance to win Sweet 16 game:
  • #2 MSU:  43.1%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  25.71% each
  • #4 M:  15%
  • #5 PSU:  6.43%
  • #7 IA:  7.14%
  • #8 UW:  5.71%
  • #10 IU, PU:  5.71% each
  • #12 RU:  0.36%
  • Cumulative:  Should result in 1.43 teams in the Elite Eight
Chance to win Elite Eight game:
  • #2 MSU:  20%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  12.14% each
  • #4 M:  9.29%
  • #5 PSU:  5%
  • #7 IA:  2.14%
  • #8 UW:  3.57%
  • #10 IU, PU:  0.71% each
  • #12 RU:  0%
  • Cumulative:  Should result in 0.66 teams in the Final Four
Chance to win Final Four game:
  • #2 MSU:  8.57%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  7.86% each
  • #4 M:  2.14%
  • #5 PSU:  2.14%
  • #7 IA:  0.71%
  • #8 UW:  2.14
  • #10 IU, PU:  0%
  • Cumulative:  Should result in 0.31 teams in NC
Chance to win National Championship:
  • #2 MSU:  3.57%
  • #3 tOSU, UMD:  2.86% each
  • #4 M:  0.71%
  • #5 PSU:  0%
  • #7 IA:  0.71%
  • #8 UW:  0.71%
  • Cumulative:  should result in 0.11 teams winning NC


Source:
There have been 35 tournaments since the expansion to 64 teams in 1985.  Thus, there have been 140 of each seed.  Here is how many of each seed that have won in each round:


MaximumSam

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #872 on: January 07, 2020, 02:34:02 PM »
Kyle Young doubtful to play tonight

ELA

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #873 on: January 07, 2020, 02:41:36 PM »
Kyle Young doubtful to play tonight
I'm surprised its that positive.  I assumed at least a couple more weeks.

mcwterps1

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #874 on: January 07, 2020, 07:08:21 PM »
Let the blowout begin. 

MaximumSam

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #875 on: January 07, 2020, 07:56:40 PM »
Pretty ugly first half

mcwterps1

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #876 on: January 07, 2020, 08:12:05 PM »
Pretty ugly first half
Agreed. 

Maryland hasn't shot the 3 like that all year. Difference in the game so far. 

MaximumSam

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #877 on: January 07, 2020, 08:16:19 PM »
Ugh I usually like Dakich but for gods sake pay attention to the game

mcwterps1

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #878 on: January 07, 2020, 08:35:57 PM »
I don't know what they're talkin about. Ayala turns the ball over every time he drives down the lane, and no one misses more layups than Maryland.

MaximumSam

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #879 on: January 07, 2020, 09:10:51 PM »
Bucks never close to solving Maryland's defense

3degrees

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #880 on: January 07, 2020, 09:17:27 PM »
Rutgers beats PSU without their best player. Maybe a bit better than people think ( outside of those familiar with all college basketball) or is PSU overrated. It may be a while before RU gets Geo Baker back but they’re managing ok. 

medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2019-2020 B1G Basketball Thread
« Reply #881 on: January 07, 2020, 09:19:47 PM »
Remember when Ohio State was 11-1 and in the top-5?That was fun. 

Now 11-4, three games back in the league and barely clinging to a spot in the top-25 with a trip to Bloomington looming.

I've never seen a team go from having a legitimate argument to be #1 to not even having an argument to be ranked at all this quickly. 

 

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