I find this game interesting both for the
divisional races and for the
Power Rankings.
First on the divisional races:
Penn State might be out of it already but if they lose this they would need an extraordinarily unlikely* set of events to get to Indy. Iowa has a better chance but falling effectively two games behind UW would be difficult to recover from.
Power Rankings:
Right now Iowa is essentially tied for 2nd/3rd with Ohio State while Penn State is in fifth between UW and PU. An Iowa win would lock up second place for them at least for this week. A Penn State win would lock up second place for the Buckeyes and put PSU in contention with UW for third (assuming Wisconsin wins at Northwestern).
From my own biased Buckeye perspective I am rooting for Penn State, Northwestern, Michigan State, Maryland, and Indiana. Then next week's rankings will be:
- Michigan
- Ohio State
- Penn State
- Michigan State
- Northwestern/Purdue/Wisconsin/Iowa
- Northwestern/Purdue/Wisconsin/Iowa
- Northwestern/Purdue/Wisconsin/Iowa
- Northwestern/Purdue/Wisconsin/Iowa
- Maryland
- Indiana/Indiana/Nebraska
- Nebraska/Indiana/Nebraska
- Minnesota
- Illinois
- Rutgers
*How unlikely you ask? REALLY unlikely. Assuming PSU loses this weekend they would be three games behind Michigan in the loss column and effectively three games behind Ohio State (due to the H2H). A three-way tie with tOSU and M at 6-3 would probably work for Penn State because they will probably have a better cumulative B1G-W opponent's record but only if Michigan beats Ohio State (because if Ohio State beats Michigan then the Buckeyes would be 2-0 in the H2H2H and win there). Thus, that would require Michigan to lose to PSU and beat Ohio State but also lose their other two games (Rutgers and Indiana). Fat chance of that. The only other way would be for Ohio State to beat Michigan but lose their other three games (Nebraska, Michigan State, Maryland) and Michigan would still need to lose to either IU or RU. Bottom line, if Penn State loses this weekend they are effectively out of the race for Indy.