Well, I said last week that Nebraska would serve as a good litmus test between Notre Dame's elite defense, and the lousy Western Michigan and SMU defenses. In a weird way, if Michigan had simply looked good, I'd have an easier time drawing a conclusion than what just happened. Michigan so thoroughly dominated both sides of the ball, that it makes me question whether Nebraska is just a lousy team in a traditional helmet. I suspect they are worse than we thought, but there's no denying Michigan's performance. For some reason, Karan Higdon never seems fully appreciated, but it's clear that when he's in there, this offense just looks better. Is he a Day 1 NFL pick? No, but he's an every down back, with big play capability, who is 2nd in conference in yards per carry, at 7.9. They put up 56 points, and honestly the quarterbacks didn't have an overly impressive game. The most promising thing may have been that unlike the Notre Dame game, the coaching staff allowed Patterson to have his way with the short passes. Move the ball around, take what the defense gives you. The 18 receptions were spread out among 10 targets. The only "maybe" downside is that a week after his coming out party, I'd like to see Peoples-Jones remain an alpha in the passing game, and while he still made his impact in special teams, 1 catch for 10 yards isn't the follow up I was looking for. The way the defense looked, you wonder if Northwestern will be able to move the ball at all, particularly now that their starting running back was forced to retire due to a medical condition. Right off the bat, Nebraska's offensive line looked overmatched in a way you rarely see in a Big Ten game where Rutgers isn't involved. Northwestern returned 4 starters from an offensive line that played well together down the stretch last year, a major reason for the pivot in their season, after being a swinging gate early. So have they rolled that over into 2018? Well sort of. Their adjusted sack rate of 3.82% is 30th in the nation, #2 in the Big Ten. But even with a talent like Larkin, their 3.2 ypc on rush attempts was worst in the conference. So you have a projected first round NFL pick at quarterback with a line that has been the second best pass blocking unit, caveat for style of play getting the ball out quick, and you have the worst yards per carry in the conference, plus you just lost your starting tailback. Clayton Thorson may break the NCAA record for pass attempts in a game. He threw it 52 times in their loss to Akron, and may have to do something similar. That's their only chance to stay in it, but if they start going three and out, that's also a recipe for it getting out of hand in a hurry too. I think the Cats play closer to the team that I expected them to be when I picked this as a Northwestern win in the preseason, and hang around for a while, but I don't see any way they can keep up against this defense with a totally one dimensional offense. |