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Topic: #14 Iowa (4-1, 1-1) at #19 Michigan (4-1, 2-1) Post Game

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ELA

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #28 on: October 02, 2019, 11:10:24 PM »
Iowa 27, Michigan 20

LittlePig

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #29 on: October 04, 2019, 07:54:53 AM »
I believe Phil Parker is a genius when it comes to coaching DB's but I am a little worried that Iowa's secondary is going to get torched in this game.

4 of the top 6 DB's are either out or just coming back from injuries.  This limits the schemes Iowa can play and forces Parker to play some untested freshmen.  CB DJ Johnson and safety Jack Koerner both look vulnerable if they are forced to play a lot.

Iowa had some success last year with the 4-2-5 alignment,  but Iowa does not have enough DB's to play it, so odds are they will be playing a traditional 4-3 a lot on Saturday.  A good passing team.could exploit this.

LittlePig

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #30 on: October 04, 2019, 08:03:42 AM »
Some disagreements:

1) I don't believe Iowa has a better defense than Michigan. At least not yet.
2) Iowa has one turnover (Brady Ross fumble vs Miami, OH)
3) Reggie Roby graduated in 1982

I would also add that probably the year 2000 when Jason Baker was the punter and Nate Kaeting was the PK may have been the best combos of kickers that Iowa has ever had.  Both went on to NFL sucess.

MrNubbz

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #31 on: October 04, 2019, 08:32:29 AM »
Some disagreements:

1) I don't believe Iowa has a better defense than Michigan. At least not yet.
I had said before the season and still believe Ms "D" is not that special.If the Wolverines are going to win it'll have to be thru the air.A quick peek has Iowa's defense ranked no 5 Nationally and Ms at 22 https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/22.Four of the Top Ten Defenses in the Country(statistically) are in the BIG.UW,tOSU,Iowa,MSU.Penn St's is @ 14
« Last Edit: October 04, 2019, 09:33:58 AM by MrNubbz »
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bayareabadger

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #32 on: October 04, 2019, 09:39:34 AM »
I had said before the season and still believe Ms "D" is not that special.If the Wolverines are going to win it'll have to be thru the air.A quick peek has Iowa's defense ranked no 5 Nationally and Ms at 22 https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/22.Four of the Top Ten Defenses in the Country(statistically) are in the BIG.UW,tOSU,Iowa,MSU.Penn St's is @ 14
Total defense is a not good number. It’s too pace reliant.

If we just change to yards per play, Michigan is 21st and Iowa is 37th. (FEI ratings weirdly match that)

By SP+, UM is 6th, Iowa 22nd. By points per drive, Iowa is 6th, Michigan 34th.


FearlessF

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #33 on: October 04, 2019, 11:24:09 AM »
Iowa had some success last year with the 4-2-5 alignment,  but Iowa does not have enough DB's to play it, so odds are they will be playing a traditional 4-3 a lot on Saturday.  A good passing team.could exploit this.
Shea hasn't proven to be a good passing team to this point

I like Iowa with the "W"

because Stanley is better than PAtterson
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LittlePig

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #34 on: October 04, 2019, 01:23:17 PM »
It is kind of surprising to see Iowa's defense ranked so high in total yards.  It has typically played a bend-don't-break philosophy where they give up a lot of yards between the 20's but don't allow a lot of big plays or TD's. 

 So usually Iowa will end up in the top 20 in scoring defense but not for total yards.

fezzador

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #35 on: October 04, 2019, 02:05:31 PM »
Iowa gave up a bunch of nothing to MTSU and Rutgers, gave up 2 big plays to ISU (granted this is with a depleted secondary) and let Miami OH dink-and-dunk on them. 

Iowa has a good defense, but for some reason it's really been struggling with making plays behind the LOS.  It's been good at keeping stuff in front of them and putting pressure on the QB, but those hurries better start translating to sacks and interceptions because even a blind squirrel is going to find a few nuts every now and then.

FearlessF

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #36 on: October 04, 2019, 02:49:39 PM »
A.J. EPENESA isn't getting sacks?
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fezzador

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #37 on: October 04, 2019, 02:57:23 PM »
Nope - he's been getting double-teamed a lot as a lot of teams are game-planning around him specifically.

Maybe he'll erupt this weekend on a bigger stage.

FearlessF

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #38 on: October 04, 2019, 03:02:02 PM »
gee, my neighbors thought for sure he would lead the nation in sacks by a wide margin and then easily become the #1 pick in the NFL draft

I'm rooting for him to have 4 or 5 sacks this Saturday
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MichiFan87

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #39 on: October 04, 2019, 03:07:37 PM »
I would expect Michigan to double Epenesa, especially since it doesn't sound the rest of the DL is anything special. If Michigan can hold up well in pass protection, Patterson should be able to have a good game like he did against Rutgers. Michigan will still run it enough to keep the LBs honest.

Defensively it sounds like Michigan matches up rather well, too. Apparently Iowa's interior OL isn't that great either, which mitigates Michigan's lack of DT depth. Iowa's RBs are decent but not great, so I think the defense can contain that pretty well. I'm primarily concerned about giving up any big pass plays.

Otherwise, the biggest concern is turnovers. Obviously, Michigan has had some bad ones before last week and also hasn't really been able to force many this year.

It should be a close game. I'll say Michigan wins 27-23.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
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MrNubbz

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #40 on: October 04, 2019, 03:21:31 PM »
Total defense is a not good number. It’s too pace reliant.

If we just change to yards per play, Michigan is 21st and Iowa is 37th. (FEI ratings weirdly match that)

By SP+, UM is 6th, Iowa 22nd. By points per drive, Iowa is 6th, Michigan 34th.


Well I looked those up on a whim but usually go by the eye test and your last stat can be pretty telling.But my view was more in line with the Hawks Offense facing that marginal defense,nothing like Ms 3 previous seasons.Not real sure of Iowas O-Line however
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Hawkinole

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Re: #14 Iowa (4-0, 1-0) at #19 Michigan (3-1, 1-1) Game Week
« Reply #41 on: October 04, 2019, 07:11:43 PM »
Iowa has a good defense, but for some reason it's really been struggling with making plays behind the LOS.  It's been good at keeping stuff in front of them . . .
And this is typical for a Phil Parker Iowa defense.



A.J. EPENESA isn't getting sacks?

Perhaps he is saving himself for the NFL.



It should be a close game. I'll say Michigan wins 27-23.

It would be a negative world without at least some optimism for Michigan, from a Michigander.

 

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