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Topic: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week

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847badgerfan

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2025, 01:16:11 PM »
I was going to mention that the Iowa secondary is not up to snuff with their past greatness at this time.
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2025, 04:56:24 PM »


Lost in the offensive explosion, is that the Hoosier DL absolutely devoured Bert's OL. 


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8x-Nleyi1VA

Best unit of all is their special teams. :o

Hawkinole

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2025, 06:25:48 PM »
It will be a difficult Saturday for Iowa football. Fortunately, the Indiana @ Iowa game is on the Peacock Network. No one has to, and no one will, see it.


ManHawk

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2025, 07:37:34 PM »
I was going to mention that the Iowa secondary is not up to snuff with their past greatness at this time.
I thought about mentioning that too.  Ever since Cooper DeJean left for the NFL after the 2023 season,   Iowa's DB's  have not been performing at their usual elite level.  
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Hawkinole

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2025, 11:36:53 PM »

I thought about mentioning that too.  Ever since Cooper DeJean left for the NFL after the 2023 season,  Iowa's DB's  have not been performing at their usual elite level. 

I was going to mention that the Iowa secondary is not up to snuff with their past greatness at this time.
I agree with both comments that the Iowa secondary has not been at the elite level they had been in 2023 and prior years, however, despite giving up 330 yards passing to Rutgers, I saw Kaliakmanis throwing elite passes into extremely close coverage, and starting late in the 2nd quarter, Iowa started to slow the passing game down until Iowa captured that late interception. My assessment is that despite giving up all that yardage, by the second half the Iowa secondary was becoming an elite unit. Iowa gave up only one score in the second half.

Rutgers may be the most precise passing team in the Big Ten, but Indiana’s aerial attack is arguably more explosive—stretching defenses vertically and punishing hesitation. What makes this matchup especially daunting for Iowa is that Indiana doesn’t just throw the ball well — they run it with equal or more alarming authority.

Phil Parker’s defense is elite, no question. If anyone can scheme a way to slow down Indiana’s rhythm, it’s him. But defensive brilliance has limits when the offense it supports can’t sustain drives or flip field position. We’ve seen this before — Ohio State last year comes to mind. Iowa’s defense held firm early, but the burden of being the only functioning unit eventually cracked the foundation. When one of the three sub-teams (offense, defense, special teams) is carrying the others, its solo excellence becomes unsustainable.

Unless Iowa finds a way to consistently move the ball against Indiana’s defense—which is fast, physical, and disciplined, this game risks becoming another slow unraveling. The margin for error is razor-thin, and Indiana’s balance on offense means Iowa can’t afford to be reactive. They’ll need to dictate tempo, not just survive it.


ManHawk

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2025, 07:42:43 AM »
I was really impressed as well with Rutgers QB Kaliakmanis and that Rutgers tall WR that gave Iowa's defense fits the whole first half.  The Rutgers QB threw some of the very best passes I have seen recently.  Very precise and accurate.

I don't know if Kaliakmanis just had a particularly good first half against Iowa,  but if he can do that every week,  Rutgers is going to give Big Ten defenses fits all year long.
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847badgerfan

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2025, 07:44:54 AM »
Much better QB now than he was with the Goophs.
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ManHawk

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2025, 08:00:48 AM »
Much better QB now than he was with the Goophs.
Yes, that's one reason why I am curious if Kaliakmanis can maintain that level of precision every week.  Another reason is Big Ten QB's tend to get beat up over time, which can also have an effect on your throwing.  But if Kaliakmanis can stay healthy,  I think Rutgers might surprise some people.
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FearlessF

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2025, 08:28:27 AM »
Rutgers may be the most precise passing team in the Big Ten
didn't think I'd EVER hear or read this

I wasn't watching closely in the first half but did enjoy the 2nd half of the Rutgers/Iowa game
I don't remember being overly impressed with the passing game
I was surprised Rutgers was moving the ball and putting up points
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ManHawk

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2025, 09:02:28 AM »
didn't think I'd EVER hear or read this

I wasn't watching closely in the first half but did enjoy the 2nd half of the Rutgers/Iowa game
I don't remember being overly impressed with the passing game
I was surprised Rutgers was moving the ball and putting up points
Rutgers has some really tall WR's. Ian Strong, 6'3"  and KJ Duff, 6'6" both had good games against Iowa.  I think Ian Strong is definitely headed to the NFL.
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #24 on: September 25, 2025, 10:59:12 AM »
This may sound weird but I see a very real possibility of the wheels coming off for Iowa, not just in this game but in this season.  

A big part of it is schedule.  They get their three best opponents at home:

  • #3 Penn State on 10/18
  • #6 Oregon on 11/8
  • #11 Indiana on Saturday.  
That creates possibilities for upsets but it also creates the very real possibility that HFA is effectively "wasted" against those teams simply because Iowa isn't good enough to beat them even in Kinnick.  

If the Hawkeyes lose those three then their absolute ceiling is 8-4/6-3 but that assumes that they are perfect in their other five games but none of those look like gimmies to me and some look VERY difficult.  Here are Iowa's eight remaining games sorted by my estimate of degree of difficulty from toughest to easiest:
  • vs #3 Penn State - Win this and all below gets to 11-1/9-0
  • vs #6 Oregon - Win this and all below gets to 10-2/8-1
  • vs #11 Indiana - Win this and all below gets to 9-3/7-2
  • at #21 USC - Win this and all below gets to 8-4/6-3
  • at Nebraska - Win this and all below gets to 7-5/5-4
  • vs Minnesota - Win this and all below gets to 6-6/4-5
  • at Wisconsin - Win this and all below gets to 5-7/3-6
  • vs Michigan State - Win this and get to 4-8/2-7

Right now I wouldn't pick Iowa in any of the top five on that list.  They might win one or two but they also might lose one or two of the games below that.  

The weird thing here is that Iowa doesn't have any extremely difficult games (ie, at PSU/Ore/tOSU) nor any extremely easy games (ie vs NU, vs UCLA) so the difference between 4-8 and 9-3 is pretty thin.  I see practically their entire schedule as games that could realistically go either way.  

GopherRock

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #25 on: September 25, 2025, 11:37:47 AM »
I thought about mentioning that too.  Ever since Cooper DeJean left for the NFL after the 2023 season,  Iowa's DB's  have not been performing at their usual elite level. 
Their special teams improved, though.  The return man that left had a knack for forgetting that he can't run back a fairly caught punt. 

ManHawk

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #26 on: September 25, 2025, 12:35:51 PM »
This may sound weird but I see a very real possibility of the wheels coming off for Iowa, not just in this game

....

The weird thing here is that Iowa doesn't have any extremely difficult games (ie, at PSU/Ore/tOSU) nor any extremely easy games (ie vs NU, vs UCLA) so the difference between 4-8 and 9-3 is pretty thin.  I see practically their entire schedule as games that could realistically go either way.
I would normally say that Iowa typically has a tendency to win most of its close games,  but the  Iowa defense just is not as trustworthy in the 4Q lately,  although the defense played great in the 4Q against Rutgers.

On the other hand,  there is a new dimension to Iowa's offense that has not been there in decades,  a running QB.  So maybe the Iowa offense can bail out the Iowa defense every now and then.

End result:  Iowa will probably finish 8-4 again,  which means they will have to upset somebody.
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iahawk15

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Re: #11 Indiana (1-0, 4-0) at Iowa (1-0, 3-1) Game Week
« Reply #27 on: September 25, 2025, 12:48:43 PM »
This may sound weird but I see a very real possibility of the wheels coming off for Iowa, not just in this game but in this season. 

A big part of it is schedule.  They get their three best opponents at home:

  • #3 Penn State on 10/18
  • #6 Oregon on 11/8
  • #11 Indiana on Saturday. 
That creates possibilities for upsets but it also creates the very real possibility that HFA is effectively "wasted" against those teams simply because Iowa isn't good enough to beat them even in Kinnick. 

If the Hawkeyes lose those three then their absolute ceiling is 8-4/6-3 but that assumes that they are perfect in their other five games but none of those look like gimmies to me and some look VERY difficult.  Here are Iowa's eight remaining games sorted by my estimate of degree of difficulty from toughest to easiest:
  • vs #3 Penn State - Win this and all below gets to 11-1/9-0
  • vs #6 Oregon - Win this and all below gets to 10-2/8-1
  • vs #11 Indiana - Win this and all below gets to 9-3/7-2
  • at #21 USC - Win this and all below gets to 8-4/6-3
  • at Nebraska - Win this and all below gets to 7-5/5-4
  • vs Minnesota - Win this and all below gets to 6-6/4-5
  • at Wisconsin - Win this and all below gets to 5-7/3-6
  • vs Michigan State - Win this and get to 4-8/2-7

Right now I wouldn't pick Iowa in any of the top five on that list.  They might win one or two but they also might lose one or two of the games below that. 

The weird thing here is that Iowa doesn't have any extremely difficult games (ie, at PSU/Ore/tOSU) nor any extremely easy games (ie vs NU, vs UCLA) so the difference between 4-8 and 9-3 is pretty thin.  I see practically their entire schedule as games that could realistically go either way. 

The tl;dr = copy pasta from every other year: Somewhere between 9-3 and 4-8, but usually 7-8 wins.

Looks more like a 6-7 win landing spot this year, with the lower end of the total range looking more probable than the upper end.

 

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