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Topic: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?

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Cincydawg

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #14 on: January 13, 2021, 06:49:23 PM »
On paper = for the record, really is means for discussion, we each can have differing opinions obviously, and some may be interesting.  Predicting the future is always perilous for obvious reasons, if my predictions don't come to pass, I won't be shocked, mildly surprised perhaps.  But, I'm willing to write them down.  If I'm wrong, fine, I have been wrong many times before.  

If someone else is wrong, I won't engage in the usual puerile name calling, it's boring, and irrelevant.

ATexasVol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #15 on: January 13, 2021, 06:53:31 PM »
I'll bite, on record, less than 0.1% chance of any of those happening.  What is rather likely, I think, are:

1.  Some tax increases along the lines of what Biden has proposed (higher corporate and FICA over $400 K, the SALT limit is discarded).
2.  Some kind of new stimulus package, free money, bailouts for states.
3.  Some chance Biden doesn't make it a year, though I suspect he will.
4.  More regulations and more "commissions" to review this and that and pretend something is happening.
5.  Occasional protests that turn into violence and looting at times, nothing I would call a civil war.
6.  Attempts to pass more laws on CO2 emissions, I'm not sure how far this can go with Manchin in the Senate.
7.  Probably no wholesale discard of cloture (Manchin again).
8.  No stacking of SCOTUS, but of course more liberals judges appointed.  We could have a Justice retire and lead to mayhem in the Senate as usual.
9.  A pretty decent possibility of a recession, one has been expected for 6-7-8 years now.
10.  COVID won't "disappear" but will abate midyear as vaccines have an impact.  My neighbor got his first today.
11.  Inflation, some I expect, IFF the economy recovers strongly, nothing dramatic in a year.

I think I agree with most of these.  Here's my edit:

  • I think Biden is out by the end of the year.  My very limited experience with people in a mental decline is that their decline can accelerate quickly.   I think he'll have some public sundowner moments that will prompt the 25th amendment.   Pelosi will lead the charge.  The media will gush at President Kamala.   
  • If Joe gets what he says he wants, he'll raise taxes on top of a stagnant economy, add a lot of new regulations, will continue to borrow-and-spend, and will be hostile to a lot of businesses that aren't GND.  That's a recipe for a recession.  At the very least, I think investors will find the prospect of a hamstrung economy to be sobering.   We might see some money move from the market to real estate, gold, bitcoin, or emerging markets.   
  • As an aside, I wish I knew what companies his cronies were involved in, I'd be a buyer.   
  • We won't see outright civil war, but we're going to see it become fashionable for companies and individuals to take action against Trump supporters. Forbes has already done it. Social media will be geared toward providing endorphin rushes to those who dox major donors.  It will become like a big Nike-like social justice campaign.  Love Trumps Hate. We've already seen liberties being trampled on by FB, Twitter, Google, and YouTube.  
  • There is nothing stopping a campaign of hate against conservatives.  You like to mock some of the dire predictions that've been made, but you haven't acknowledged what has been happening and how those data points fit on the curve.  We're on our way to a place that isn't good.  Gone are the days of "I may disagree with what you say, but I'll defend with my life your right to say it".   Like the fellow with mild dementia, we're on the precipice of losing our liberties at an accelerated rate.   



I now know several people who've gotten the COVID vaccine.  Several of my healthy early-60s peers have gotten on the list. My wife is highly motivated to stay healthy so she can travel to Dublin next month to see her daughter and meet our new grandson, so she signed both of us up for the vaccination list.  

awinatl

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #16 on: January 13, 2021, 07:02:13 PM »
Crime will continue to rise rapidly due to unchecked immigration, we’ll see several attacks on American interests overseas, race relations will get considerably worse, I won’t shed a tear the day the disgusting POS dies

ZenMode

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #17 on: January 13, 2021, 07:10:18 PM »
And we are already having it.
The war is between the fringe of both parties.

harvestalvol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #18 on: January 13, 2021, 07:43:47 PM »
a financial reset.

 The number of countries that have come out of a situation when debt surpassed their GDP without economic upheaval and a financial reset:  0%. 

Therefore, a RESET IS COMING.  The United States is the world’s reserve currency, and we have crossed over the line to the point of no return.

https://sovereignadvisors.net/education/the-global-financial-reset/
Been expecting this for several years now. Shows what I know. It will be better for the country if it happens while the Dims are in complete control. 

Greece reached the tipping point around 140%, as I recall. Looks like some huge bubbles in the SM. What will be the ultimate impact of perpetual QE? 

jgvol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #19 on: January 13, 2021, 07:57:16 PM »
The war is between the fringe of both parties.

I think you are underestimating things.  

Its cold, but its there. 

Volbrigade/oU

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #20 on: January 13, 2021, 08:35:14 PM »
It is a fool’s errand to predict specific events, within a year’s time span.

To be able to do so with any degree of certainty is rare.

For instance, I predicted that Biden would win this election.  I was certain enough of it that I relocated.  But I wasn’t completely sure.  And there were times when I allowed myself to hope — and pray — for a different result, a prolonged reprieve.

Sometimes, God’s answer is “no”.

What we can do is project, based on trends.  And on “understanding the times”, as the sons of Issachar did.  Which is an understanding within the context of God’s narrative of redemption, and our temporal location within it.

Here’s what I can say with absolute certainty will happen over the next year:

people, as a whole, will grow more stupid.  More easily led.  More compliant.  More divided. 

The information available to them will grow more homogenous.  Alternatives to the 24/7 lying, Godless, Leftist propaganda machine will become harder to find.  Youngsters will become ever more indoctrinated into the Marxist/Darwinist/BLM bullshit.  Those given the intellectual honesty and courage to stand up to it will become more and more ostracized.

The Left will become ever more recklessly and radically insane.  Madness begets madness.  I will predict specifically that Biden doesn’t last the year.  And the most reprehensible person I have ever seen in national politics will become the President.  A person who makes Hillary seem warm, genuine, attractive, and likable by comparison.

The Right will become ever more confused and discouraged and dispirited.  The masses will have fewer and fewer venues of truth to edify them.  I’m tempted to say FoxNews will not last the year.  It might.  But its days are numbered.  The “voices in the wilderness”  — the Victor David Hansons, the Candace Owens, the outstanding multi-ethnic lineup of regular contributors on Carlson and Ingraham — will increasingly become just that.  Voices in the wilderness, almost completely unheard, as the Big Tech companies suppress their online presence.  Perhaps they will continue to appear on FN, if it is not silenced.

There will be outbreaks of violence.  If it is from the Left, it will be unreported.  If it is from the Right, it will be misreported and mischaracterized.  That’s same ol’ same ol’ — but more so.  There will be an intensification of this effect.  And its consequences.

The Covid lockdowns will continue to be enforced and reprieved, with no real predictability.  Because they will continue to be implemented for political, not scientific, reasons. 

There will be crackdowns on anyone the Left views as a threat. 

How much violence, how severe the crackdowns… cannot be foreseen.  We’ll have to see how that cake bakes.

This land will continue its downward trajectory of a sad, confused, melancholy, dismal former great power.  A nation that has turned its back on its own greatness, and the source of it:  a prevailing belief in the sovereignty of God in the affairs of men.  Truth will have fallen victim to propaganda, as we saw today with the fraudulent impeachment vote.  Power will continue to corrupt more absolutely.  Humor and wit will be almost non-existent, as they both require truth in order to thrive.  And truth will be a cancelable, and even criminal, offense.

We will, in effect, transform steadily into California, NYC, Portland, Chicago, and all the other oppressive, deranged, Blue State dystopias.

And above all else:  God will be “large and in charge”.  His purpose being orchestrated in the midst of incalculable exercises of sinful free will.  Everything concurring with His plan of redemption, which is drawing inexorably to its climax — "everything", including the Godless Left’s takeover of this country, as inevitable and unstoppable as the tsunami following a great shaking.  Bringing with it a rapidly rising flood of every filthy, horrible, perverse, ruinous, destructive, and malignant thing imaginable. 

And some beyond imagining.

So: 

“Let not your heart be troubled”.  Monitor events.  But don’t put your faith, hope, trust, or treasure in this world.  Keep your eyes firmly on the source of your salvation, the Lord and Savior Jesus Christ.

Because the way it’s looking, some of us may be translated “Home” before the year is out…. ( ^ ;

         



HK_Vol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #21 on: January 13, 2021, 09:52:29 PM »
No states secede unless they stack the court or add DC as a state.  Then all bets are off.  If they're going to screw half the country that they don't like, why stick around?


Volitale

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #22 on: January 13, 2021, 09:58:48 PM »
The war is between the fringe of both parties.
So you’re saying The MSM, Facebook, Amazon, google, Twitter, etc. are the fringe left.  

I agree.

HK_Vol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #23 on: January 13, 2021, 10:07:27 PM »
So you’re saying The MSM, Facebook, Amazon, google, Twitter, etc. are the fringe left. 

I agree.
Helluva big "fringe"..

Cincydawg

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #24 on: January 14, 2021, 07:27:29 AM »
Some background on what it means to be considered the world's reserve currency:

Why the US Dollar Is the World Currency (thebalance.com)

The Dollar: The World’s Currency | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

Some experts fear that the U.S. government’s massive stimulus spending, adding to a mountain of existing debt, combined with the country’s failure to control the spread of the virus could lead to a crisis of confidence in the greenback.

Yet previous predictions about the dollar’s demise, including after the 2008 financial crisis, have not come to pass. As the economist Barry Eichengreen explains in his book Exorbitant Privilege, this is a testament to both the advantages the dollar enjoys as the leading reserve currency and the lack of credible alternatives. The primacy of the dollar in trade and finance makes it the most attractive currency for countries to hold and therefore difficult to supplant.


Cincydawg

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #25 on: January 14, 2021, 09:40:41 AM »
From the WSJ:

During his campaign, President-elect Joe Biden proposed raising taxes on corporations, estates and high-income households, reversing key parts of the 2017 tax cuts passed by Republicans. With the Georgia Senate victories for Democrats, some of his ideas are much more likely to become law.


ATexasVol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #26 on: January 14, 2021, 10:25:58 AM »
From the WSJ:

During his campaign, President-elect Joe Biden proposed raising taxes on corporations, estates and high-income households, reversing key parts of the 2017 tax cuts passed by Republicans. With the Georgia Senate victories for Democrats, some of his ideas are much more likely to become law.



I have used TurboTax for years to do my taxes, so after doing my 2017 taxes, I plugged all of my income and deductions into the 2016 version of TurboTax.   Based on that, the Trump tax cuts saved me a substantial amount of money.  Regardless of what Joe has said on the campaign trail (or the campaign basement), I'll be surprised if the final version doesn't bump up my marginal tax rates.  

gymvol

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Re: What will happen in Biden's First Year in Office?
« Reply #27 on: January 14, 2021, 10:42:30 AM »


This is where we're headed it may take more than a year but we're well on our way already with peoples free speech rights being revoked, punished for right to peaceably assemble and being punished for loyalty for what they believe in.


If everyone is thinking alike then somebody isn't thinking.

George S. Patton

 

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